Trader sentiment on Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6 remains evenly split at 50% implied probability each for 14°C or below and 22°C, driven by divergent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models amid an approaching cold front from the south. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) updates note ongoing showers and mild highs of 22–27°C through April 2, but southerly winds and increased cloud cover could suppress daytime heating over the weekend, potentially capping peaks near climatological April averages of 21–22°C or dropping below 15°C if the front strengthens. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in front timing and intensity, with daily SMN and NOAA updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution using official Ezeiza Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月6日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
4月6日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C或以下 26%
24°C或更高 26%
18°C 16%
19°C 12%
14°C或以下
26%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
12%
20°C
11%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
6%
24°C或更高
26%
14°C或以下 26%
24°C或更高 26%
18°C 16%
19°C 12%
14°C或以下
26%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
12%
20°C
11%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
6%
24°C或更高
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment on Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6 remains evenly split at 50% implied probability each for 14°C or below and 22°C, driven by divergent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models amid an approaching cold front from the south. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) updates note ongoing showers and mild highs of 22–27°C through April 2, but southerly winds and increased cloud cover could suppress daytime heating over the weekend, potentially capping peaks near climatological April averages of 21–22°C or dropping below 15°C if the front strengthens. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in front timing and intensity, with daily SMN and NOAA updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution using official Ezeiza Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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