Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble guidance like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes around 19–22°C at roughly equal implied probabilities. Following highs near 29–30°C on April 1 amid upper-level ridging, a cold front introduces southerly winds and partly cloudy skies—partially limiting solar insolation and capping peaks—as seen in tiempo3.com and weather25.com projections of 19–20°C maxima with light showers possible. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover variability and frontal timing: fuller overcast favors 19°C, while breaks allow 21–22°C closer to April climatological norms of 22°C. New SMN updates and model runs through April 4 will sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
4月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
21°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 20%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
23%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C或更高
8%
21°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 20%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C或以下
$365 交易量
<1%
15°C
$808 交易量
1%
16°C
$146 交易量
2%
17°C
$206 交易量
5%
18°C
$235 交易量
9%
19°C
$218 交易量
19%
20°C
$313 交易量
19%
21°C
$240 交易量
23%
22°C
$264 交易量
22%
23°C
$206 交易量
12%
24°C或更高
$278 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble guidance like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes around 19–22°C at roughly equal implied probabilities. Following highs near 29–30°C on April 1 amid upper-level ridging, a cold front introduces southerly winds and partly cloudy skies—partially limiting solar insolation and capping peaks—as seen in tiempo3.com and weather25.com projections of 19–20°C maxima with light showers possible. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover variability and frontal timing: fuller overcast favors 19°C, while breaks allow 21–22°C closer to April climatological norms of 22°C. New SMN updates and model runs through April 4 will sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$3,278結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble guidance like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes around 19–22°C at roughly equal implied probabilities. Following highs near 29–30°C on April 1 amid upper-level ridging, a cold front introduces southerly winds and partly cloudy skies—partially limiting solar insolation and capping peaks—as seen in tiempo3.com and weather25.com projections of 19–20°C maxima with light showers possible. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover variability and frontal timing: fuller overcast favors 19°C, while breaks allow 21–22°C closer to April climatological norms of 22°C. New SMN updates and model runs through April 4 will sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,278結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble guidance like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes around 19–22°C at roughly equal implied probabilities. Following highs near 29–30°C on April 1 amid upper-level ridging, a cold front introduces southerly winds and partly cloudy skies—partially limiting solar insolation and capping peaks—as seen in tiempo3.com and weather25.com projections of 19–20°C maxima with light showers possible. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover variability and frontal timing: fuller overcast favors 19°C, while breaks allow 21–22°C closer to April climatological norms of 22°C. New SMN updates and model runs through April 4 will sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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