Meteorological Service Singapore's latest fortnightly outlook, issued around April 1, forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across the island during the first half of April 2026, despite frequent afternoon thundery showers ushering in inter-monsoon conditions with near-average rainfall. This guidance follows recent highs like 35.4°C on March 30 and 35.2°C on April 3, sustaining trader sentiment for warmth amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions. However, the closely matched implied probabilities—32°C at 35.5%, 31°C at 29%, and 33°C at 20%—highlight uncertainty from cloud cover and precipitation potentially capping peaks below model guidance, consistent with April's climatological average highs near 31–32°C. Updated 4-day forecasts and real-time observations will sharpen resolution criteria based on the official highest station reading by April 6 evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on April 6?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 6?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
34°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
21%
34°C
12%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
34°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
21%
34°C
12%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Meteorological Service Singapore's latest fortnightly outlook, issued around April 1, forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across the island during the first half of April 2026, despite frequent afternoon thundery showers ushering in inter-monsoon conditions with near-average rainfall. This guidance follows recent highs like 35.4°C on March 30 and 35.2°C on April 3, sustaining trader sentiment for warmth amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions. However, the closely matched implied probabilities—32°C at 35.5%, 31°C at 29%, and 33°C at 20%—highlight uncertainty from cloud cover and precipitation potentially capping peaks below model guidance, consistent with April's climatological average highs near 31–32°C. Updated 4-day forecasts and real-time observations will sharpen resolution criteria based on the official highest station reading by April 6 evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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