Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 32°C (35.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on April 4, with 33°C (30%) and 31°C (24.5%) close behind and 34°C or higher at 21.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the National Environment Agency's (NEA) ongoing warm spell. Late March has seen daily maximums of 34–35°C on most days under reduced cloud cover and below-average rainfall, per NEA's fortnightly outlook, but early April may see moderation from afternoon thundery showers typical of inter-monsoon transition. Key differentiators include convective activity suppressing peaks versus clear skies and urban heat island effects boosting them; historical April averages hover near 31°C, though extremes exceed 35°C. Watch NEA daily updates and model ensembles for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
32°C 35%
33°C 30%
31°C 25%
30°C 15%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
25%
32°C
35%
33°C
30%
34°C or higher
22%
32°C 35%
33°C 30%
31°C 25%
30°C 15%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
25%
32°C
35%
33°C
30%
34°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 32°C (35.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on April 4, with 33°C (30%) and 31°C (24.5%) close behind and 34°C or higher at 21.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the National Environment Agency's (NEA) ongoing warm spell. Late March has seen daily maximums of 34–35°C on most days under reduced cloud cover and below-average rainfall, per NEA's fortnightly outlook, but early April may see moderation from afternoon thundery showers typical of inter-monsoon transition. Key differentiators include convective activity suppressing peaks versus clear skies and urban heat island effects boosting them; historical April averages hover near 31°C, though extremes exceed 35°C. Watch NEA daily updates and model ensembles for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions