Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 16–18°C on April 6 amid a shift from last week's cool, unsettled conditions—marked by cloudy skies, showers, northerly winds, and daytime maxima of 12–15°C—to partly cloudy weather with fading light rain and milder airflow. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 17°C leading at 31% implied probability due to model means near 16.5°C, but close contention among 16°C (26%) and 18°C (23.5%) stems from uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and exact timing of clearing skies, which could cap or boost peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Daily updates expected through April 5 will refine guidance ahead of resolution at official Paris stations. Historical early-April averages hover at 14–15°C, underscoring the spring-like warming potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
17°C 32%
16°C 25%
18°C 24%
19°C 12%
14°C or below
7%
15°C
11%
16°C
25%
17°C
32%
18°C
24%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 32%
16°C 25%
18°C 24%
19°C 12%
14°C or below
7%
15°C
11%
16°C
25%
17°C
32%
18°C
24%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 16–18°C on April 6 amid a shift from last week's cool, unsettled conditions—marked by cloudy skies, showers, northerly winds, and daytime maxima of 12–15°C—to partly cloudy weather with fading light rain and milder airflow. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 17°C leading at 31% implied probability due to model means near 16.5°C, but close contention among 16°C (26%) and 18°C (23.5%) stems from uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and exact timing of clearing skies, which could cap or boost peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Daily updates expected through April 5 will refine guidance ahead of resolution at official Paris stations. Historical early-April averages hover at 14–15°C, underscoring the spring-like warming potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions