Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 46-47°F as the highest temperature recorded at New York City's Central Park station on April 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak in that narrow range amid a dominant high-pressure ridge. Clear skies and light northerly winds under this system suppressed daytime heating, yielding highs 10-12°F below the 57°F climatological normal for early April, consistent with recent NOAA model guidance and a cooldown following March's record warmth. This positioning aligns with verified hourly data releases, leaving minimal room for revision barring an extraordinary instrument malfunction or data audit—scenarios with negligible historical precedent for such settled measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 8?
46-47°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$213,281 交易量
$213,281 交易量
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
Yes
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
46-47°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$213,281 交易量
$213,281 交易量
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
Yes
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 46-47°F as the highest temperature recorded at New York City's Central Park station on April 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak in that narrow range amid a dominant high-pressure ridge. Clear skies and light northerly winds under this system suppressed daytime heating, yielding highs 10-12°F below the 57°F climatological normal for early April, consistent with recent NOAA model guidance and a cooldown following March's record warmth. This positioning aligns with verified hourly data releases, leaving minimal room for revision barring an extraordinary instrument malfunction or data audit—scenarios with negligible historical precedent for such settled measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions