Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 26°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 8, driven by observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing a midday peak of 26°C (approximately 79°F) amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 78%, and scattered light rain. These conditions, reported by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, limited solar insolation and convective heating, aligning with early-April climatological averages of 25–26°C highs. While unexpected afternoon clearing could theoretically enable a brief surge to 27°C via residual surface warming, low solar angles past 15:00 local time and moist atmospheric profiles render this improbable; final daily maximum data expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$118,730 交易量
$118,730 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$118,730 交易量
$118,730 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 26°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 8, driven by observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing a midday peak of 26°C (approximately 79°F) amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 78%, and scattered light rain. These conditions, reported by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, limited solar insolation and convective heating, aligning with early-April climatological averages of 25–26°C highs. While unexpected afternoon clearing could theoretically enable a brief surge to 27°C via residual surface warming, low solar angles past 15:00 local time and moist atmospheric profiles render this improbable; final daily maximum data expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions