Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 20–21°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 8 at Tianhe International Airport, mirroring the spread in short-term numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles, which project daytime highs of 19–22°C amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Recent observations through April 5 logged peaks near 23°C under overcast skies, but an approaching mid-level trough signals potential moderation via increased cloudiness and light precipitation risks, differentiating lower outcomes like 18–19°C from warmer 22–23°C possibilities. Historical early-April averages of 20°C provide baseline context, though daily model updates—expected every 12 hours—could refine this uncertain 2–3°C spread as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?
21°C 26%
20°C 21%
19°C 19%
22°C 17%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
16%
19°C
20%
20°C
23%
21°C
26%
22°C
17%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
11%
21°C 26%
20°C 21%
19°C 19%
22°C 17%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
16%
19°C
20%
20°C
23%
21°C
26%
22°C
17%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 20–21°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 8 at Tianhe International Airport, mirroring the spread in short-term numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles, which project daytime highs of 19–22°C amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Recent observations through April 5 logged peaks near 23°C under overcast skies, but an approaching mid-level trough signals potential moderation via increased cloudiness and light precipitation risks, differentiating lower outcomes like 18–19°C from warmer 22–23°C possibilities. Historical early-April averages of 20°C provide baseline context, though daily model updates—expected every 12 hours—could refine this uncertain 2–3°C spread as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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