Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 7, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging sharply—some projecting persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows keeping highs near or below 10°C, while others anticipate post-rain clearing under a developing high-pressure ridge pushing toward 15°C or higher. Recent rain and gusty winds from a low-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula since April 3 have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical early-April variability when frontal passages introduce cold air from Siberia amid spring transition. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation fade-out timing; watch KMA's next 24-hour update for refined guidance on cloud breaks and boundary layer recovery.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月7日首爾最高溫度？
4月7日首爾最高溫度？
15°C或以上 49%
11°C 24%
12°C 21%
10°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
5°C或以下
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
10%
8°C
5%
9°C
10%
10°C
20%
11°C
24%
12°C
21%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C或以上
28%
15°C或以上 49%
11°C 24%
12°C 21%
10°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
5°C或以下
$370 交易量
1%
6°C
$537 交易量
1%
7°C
$9 交易量
10%
8°C
$5 交易量
5%
9°C
$1 交易量
10%
10°C
$0 交易量
20%
11°C
$0 交易量
24%
12°C
$34 交易量
21%
13°C
$0 交易量
20%
14°C
$0 交易量
14%
15°C或以上
$15 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 7, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging sharply—some projecting persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows keeping highs near or below 10°C, while others anticipate post-rain clearing under a developing high-pressure ridge pushing toward 15°C or higher. Recent rain and gusty winds from a low-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula since April 3 have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical early-April variability when frontal passages introduce cold air from Siberia amid spring transition. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation fade-out timing; watch KMA's next 24-hour update for refined guidance on cloud breaks and boundary layer recovery.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$972結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 7, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging sharply—some projecting persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows keeping highs near or below 10°C, while others anticipate post-rain clearing under a developing high-pressure ridge pushing toward 15°C or higher. Recent rain and gusty winds from a low-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula since April 3 have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical early-April variability when frontal passages introduce cold air from Siberia amid spring transition. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation fade-out timing; watch KMA's next 24-hour update for refined guidance on cloud breaks and boundary layer recovery.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$972結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 7, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging sharply—some projecting persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows keeping highs near or below 10°C, while others anticipate post-rain clearing under a developing high-pressure ridge pushing toward 15°C or higher. Recent rain and gusty winds from a low-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula since April 3 have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical early-April variability when frontal passages introduce cold air from Siberia amid spring transition. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation fade-out timing; watch KMA's next 24-hour update for refined guidance on cloud breaks and boundary layer recovery.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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