Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by finalized Weather Underground observations showing a peak of 61°F (16.1°C) at 3:00–3:30 PM local time under clear skies and light southerly winds up to 13 mph. Hourly data confirms steady warming from 30°F morning lows to this maximum before evening cooldown to 48°F, aligning with China Meteorological Administration monitoring and cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow remnants. While revisions to official records are rare post-finalization, an unlikely upward adjustment from preliminary airport METAR reports could challenge this if higher readings emerge from quality-controlled data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 7?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$167,371 交易量
$167,371 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$167,371 交易量
$167,371 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 3, 2026, 6:20 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by finalized Weather Underground observations showing a peak of 61°F (16.1°C) at 3:00–3:30 PM local time under clear skies and light southerly winds up to 13 mph. Hourly data confirms steady warming from 30°F morning lows to this maximum before evening cooldown to 48°F, aligning with China Meteorological Administration monitoring and cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow remnants. While revisions to official records are rare post-finalization, an unlikely upward adjustment from preliminary airport METAR reports could challenge this if higher readings emerge from quality-controlled data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions