Trader sentiment on San Francisco's April 7 high temperature splits closely between 68-69°F (26.5% implied probability) and 74°F or higher (25.5%), reflecting NWS-observed moderate to strong offshore flow initiating April 3 that could erode the persistent marine layer and boost temperatures into the 70s. Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight a warming trend under a building high-pressure ridge over the Pacific, with northerly winds advecting warmer continental air and reducing cool Pacific stratus influence after early-month showers. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show divergence on ridge strength and wind persistence, potentially capping highs in the upper 60s if coastal fog lingers. Historical April averages near 64°F at SFO underscore outlier warmth risks during offshore episodes; watch daily NWS updates and 12z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 7?
68-69°F 23%
64-65°F 21%
66-67°F 21%
60-61°F 20%
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
11%
68-69°F 23%
64-65°F 21%
66-67°F 21%
60-61°F 20%
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 3, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment on San Francisco's April 7 high temperature splits closely between 68-69°F (26.5% implied probability) and 74°F or higher (25.5%), reflecting NWS-observed moderate to strong offshore flow initiating April 3 that could erode the persistent marine layer and boost temperatures into the 70s. Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight a warming trend under a building high-pressure ridge over the Pacific, with northerly winds advecting warmer continental air and reducing cool Pacific stratus influence after early-month showers. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show divergence on ridge strength and wind persistence, potentially capping highs in the upper 60s if coastal fog lingers. Historical April averages near 64°F at SFO underscore outlier warmth risks during offshore episodes; watch daily NWS updates and 12z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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