Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 4 around 18–19°C means, with spreads exceeding 5°C across members fueling tight trader consensus on outcomes from 18°C to 21°C. This reflects inherent model uncertainty in short-range spring forecasts, where cloud cover, light winds, and transient fronts could nudge peaks up or down by 2–3°C; late-March observations hit 17–19°C amid +2°C positive anomalies above norms, aligning with climatological early-April highs of 18–20°C. Daily China Meteorological Administration updates and refreshed model runs through April 2–3 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station measurements at key Shanghai sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 4?
19°C 24%
20°C 19%
21°C 19%
18°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
17%
19°C
24%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
6%
19°C 24%
20°C 19%
21°C 19%
18°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
14°C or below
$244 交易量
2%
15°C
$158 交易量
4%
16°C
$176 交易量
4%
17°C
$106 交易量
8%
18°C
$83 交易量
17%
19°C
$76 交易量
24%
20°C
$97 交易量
19%
21°C
$111 交易量
19%
22°C
$112 交易量
6%
23°C
$85 交易量
6%
24°C or higher
$154 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 4 around 18–19°C means, with spreads exceeding 5°C across members fueling tight trader consensus on outcomes from 18°C to 21°C. This reflects inherent model uncertainty in short-range spring forecasts, where cloud cover, light winds, and transient fronts could nudge peaks up or down by 2–3°C; late-March observations hit 17–19°C amid +2°C positive anomalies above norms, aligning with climatological early-April highs of 18–20°C. Daily China Meteorological Administration updates and refreshed model runs through April 2–3 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station measurements at key Shanghai sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,402結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 4 around 18–19°C means, with spreads exceeding 5°C across members fueling tight trader consensus on outcomes from 18°C to 21°C. This reflects inherent model uncertainty in short-range spring forecasts, where cloud cover, light winds, and transient fronts could nudge peaks up or down by 2–3°C; late-March observations hit 17–19°C amid +2°C positive anomalies above norms, aligning with climatological early-April highs of 18–20°C. Daily China Meteorological Administration updates and refreshed model runs through April 2–3 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station measurements at key Shanghai sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,402結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 4 around 18–19°C means, with spreads exceeding 5°C across members fueling tight trader consensus on outcomes from 18°C to 21°C. This reflects inherent model uncertainty in short-range spring forecasts, where cloud cover, light winds, and transient fronts could nudge peaks up or down by 2–3°C; late-March observations hit 17–19°C amid +2°C positive anomalies above norms, aligning with climatological early-April highs of 18–20°C. Daily China Meteorological Administration updates and refreshed model runs through April 2–3 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station measurements at key Shanghai sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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