Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3 at 21-23°C, following cooler conditions around 18°C on March 30 amid a passing frontal system. This tight clustering stems from ensemble model agreement across CMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs, which show minimal spread due to stable upper-level ridging and moderate southerly flow promoting slight warming, though lingering cloud cover and soil moisture from recent showers introduce 1-2°C uncertainty in peak hourly maxima. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 20-24°C, but exact integer outcomes hinge on official station measurements at the Wuhan meteorological observatory. Updated forecasts expected April 1 could refine probabilities further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
21°C 32%
22°C 22%
23°C 19%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C
24%
22°C
22%
23°C
19%
24°C
12%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
5%
21°C 32%
22°C 22%
23°C 19%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$405 交易量
1%
17°C
$73 交易量
8%
18°C
$0 交易量
10%
19°C
$0 交易量
13%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$29 交易量
24%
22°C
$0 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
12%
25°C
$0 交易量
10%
26°C or higher
$8 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3 at 21-23°C, following cooler conditions around 18°C on March 30 amid a passing frontal system. This tight clustering stems from ensemble model agreement across CMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs, which show minimal spread due to stable upper-level ridging and moderate southerly flow promoting slight warming, though lingering cloud cover and soil moisture from recent showers introduce 1-2°C uncertainty in peak hourly maxima. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 20-24°C, but exact integer outcomes hinge on official station measurements at the Wuhan meteorological observatory. Updated forecasts expected April 1 could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$515結束日期
Apr 3, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3 at 21-23°C, following cooler conditions around 18°C on March 30 amid a passing frontal system. This tight clustering stems from ensemble model agreement across CMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs, which show minimal spread due to stable upper-level ridging and moderate southerly flow promoting slight warming, though lingering cloud cover and soil moisture from recent showers introduce 1-2°C uncertainty in peak hourly maxima. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 20-24°C, but exact integer outcomes hinge on official station measurements at the Wuhan meteorological observatory. Updated forecasts expected April 1 could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$515結束日期
Apr 3, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3 at 21-23°C, following cooler conditions around 18°C on March 30 amid a passing frontal system. This tight clustering stems from ensemble model agreement across CMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs, which show minimal spread due to stable upper-level ridging and moderate southerly flow promoting slight warming, though lingering cloud cover and soil moisture from recent showers introduce 1-2°C uncertainty in peak hourly maxima. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 20-24°C, but exact integer outcomes hinge on official station measurements at the Wuhan meteorological observatory. Updated forecasts expected April 1 could refine probabilities further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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