Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 17°C on March 30, with 30% for 18°C, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 forecast projecting an 18°C daytime peak amid light rain and persistent cloud cover from an advancing frontal system. This marks a sharp cooldown from the 24°C observed yesterday at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport under partly cloudy skies, as the frontal boundary suppresses diurnal heating. The Hong Kong Observatory's latest bulletin aligns closely, forecasting a 17°C maximum with rain, while current morning METAR reports confirm light rain and temperatures around 7°C. March climatology typically sees late-month highs of 18–20°C, but cloudy conditions introduce uncertainty; real-time airport observations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
17°C 51%
18°C 36%
19°C 6%
20°C 1.7%
$25,304 交易量
$25,304 交易量
17°C
56%
18°C
38%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 51%
18°C 36%
19°C 6%
20°C 1.7%
$25,304 交易量
$25,304 交易量
17°C
56%
18°C
38%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 17°C on March 30, with 30% for 18°C, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 forecast projecting an 18°C daytime peak amid light rain and persistent cloud cover from an advancing frontal system. This marks a sharp cooldown from the 24°C observed yesterday at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport under partly cloudy skies, as the frontal boundary suppresses diurnal heating. The Hong Kong Observatory's latest bulletin aligns closely, forecasting a 17°C maximum with rain, while current morning METAR reports confirm light rain and temperatures around 7°C. March climatology typically sees late-month highs of 18–20°C, but cloudy conditions introduce uncertainty; real-time airport observations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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