Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris station confirm the highest temperature on March 30 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with high-resolution AROME model runs and consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecasts that projected peaks of 12–14°C under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers limiting solar insolation. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty at 100%, reflects verified hourly METAR data showing temperatures topping out mid-afternoon without exceeding this threshold, consistent with late-March climatological norms averaging 12°C highs amid variable spring patterns. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an overlooked urban heat peak at 15°C or higher, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established stations. Final resolution awaits Météo-France's daily bulletin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月30日巴黎最高溫度?
3月30日巴黎最高溫度?
14°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$200,302 交易量
$200,302 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
14°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$200,302 交易量
$200,302 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris station confirm the highest temperature on March 30 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with high-resolution AROME model runs and consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecasts that projected peaks of 12–14°C under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers limiting solar insolation. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty at 100%, reflects verified hourly METAR data showing temperatures topping out mid-afternoon without exceeding this threshold, consistent with late-March climatological norms averaging 12°C highs amid variable spring patterns. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an overlooked urban heat peak at 15°C or higher, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established stations. Final resolution awaits Météo-France's daily bulletin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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