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3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?

Market icon

3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?

76°F或更高 63%

74-75°F 22%

72-73°F 13%

70-71°F 3.7%

Polymarket
NEW

$28,626 交易量

76°F或更高 63%

74-75°F 22%

72-73°F 13%

70-71°F 3.7%

Polymarket
NEW

$28,626 交易量

華氏57度或以下

$4,516 交易量

<1%

58-59°F

$1,625 交易量

<1%

60-61°F

$1,968 交易量

<1%

62-63°F

$4,556 交易量

<1%

64-65°F

$2,115 交易量

<1%

66-67°F

$1,753 交易量

1%

68-69°F

$2,971 交易量

1%

70-71°F

$2,909 交易量

4%

72-73°F

$2,016 交易量

13%

74-75°F

$1,996 交易量

22%

76°F或更高

$2,203 交易量

63%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 76°F or higher on March 30, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models indicating mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, and a potent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection from the south. This setup aligns with March 2026's anomalous warmth—featuring record highs like 73°F on March 9 and 77°F on March 21—pushing deviations well above the 52°F climatological normal. Model ensembles show spread, with European and GFS runs hinting at upper-70s peaks if insolation maximizes, though cloud development or shear could cap at 74-75°F (18.5%). Hourly observations from NOAA will refine resolution as the day progresses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 76°F or higher on March 30, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models indicating mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, and a potent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection from the south. This setup aligns with March 2026's anomalous warmth—featuring record highs like 73°F on March 9 and 77°F on March 21—pushing deviations well above the 52°F climatological normal. Model ensembles show spread, with European and GFS runs hinting at upper-70s peaks if insolation maximizes, though cloud development or shear could cap at 74-75°F (18.5%). Hourly observations from NOAA will refine resolution as the day progresses.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 76°F or higher on March 30, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models indicating mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, and a potent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection from the south. This setup aligns with March 2026's anomalous warmth—featuring record highs like 73°F on March 9 and 77°F on March 21—pushing deviations well above the 52°F climatological normal. Model ensembles show spread, with European and GFS runs hinting at upper-70s peaks if insolation maximizes, though cloud development or shear could cap at 74-75°F (18.5%). Hourly observations from NOAA will refine resolution as the day progresses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 76°F or higher on March 30, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models indicating mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, and a potent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection from the south. This setup aligns with March 2026's anomalous warmth—featuring record highs like 73°F on March 9 and 77°F on March 21—pushing deviations well above the 52°F climatological normal. Model ensembles show spread, with European and GFS runs hinting at upper-70s peaks if insolation maximizes, though cloud development or shear could cap at 74-75°F (18.5%). Hourly observations from NOAA will refine resolution as the day progresses.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "76°F或更高" at 63%, followed by "74-75°F" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?" has generated $28.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?" is "76°F或更高" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "74-75°F" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.