Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 76°F or higher on March 30, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models indicating mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, and a potent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection from the south. This setup aligns with March 2026's anomalous warmth—featuring record highs like 73°F on March 9 and 77°F on March 21—pushing deviations well above the 52°F climatological normal. Model ensembles show spread, with European and GFS runs hinting at upper-70s peaks if insolation maximizes, though cloud development or shear could cap at 74-75°F (18.5%). Hourly observations from NOAA will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?
3月30日芝加哥的最高溫度?
76°F或更高 63%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 13%
70-71°F 3.7%
$28,626 交易量
$28,626 交易量
華氏57度或以下
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
22%
76°F或更高
63%
76°F或更高 63%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 13%
70-71°F 3.7%
$28,626 交易量
$28,626 交易量
華氏57度或以下
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
22%
76°F或更高
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 76°F or higher on March 30, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models indicating mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, and a potent upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection from the south. This setup aligns with March 2026's anomalous warmth—featuring record highs like 73°F on March 9 and 77°F on March 21—pushing deviations well above the 52°F climatological normal. Model ensembles show spread, with European and GFS runs hinting at upper-70s peaks if insolation maximizes, though cloud development or shear could cap at 74-75°F (18.5%). Hourly observations from NOAA will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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