Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 16, driven by synchronized forecasts from authoritative models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs peaking at 13-14°C amid persistent cool northerly flows and light cloud cover. Turkish State Meteorological Service data aligns, showing typical mid-March anomalies rarely exceeding 2°C above climatological norms of 12-13°C, reinforced by recent soundings indicating stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or solar heating surge under clear skies, potentially pushing to 15-16°C, though ensemble probabilities assign under 1% odds to such outliers based on model spread and historical verification rates exceeding 90% for short-range temperature forecasts.