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選舉·世界選舉

都柏林市中心補選優勝者

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

都柏林市中心補選優勝者

丹尼爾·恩尼斯 76%

Janice Boylan 15.3%

Gerry Hutch 4.3%

Gillian Sherratt 1.8%

Polymarket

$603,543 交易量

丹尼爾·恩尼斯 76%

Janice Boylan 15.3%

Gerry Hutch 4.3%

Gillian Sherratt 1.8%

Polymarket

$603,543 交易量

丹尼爾·恩尼斯

$8,102 交易量

76%

Janice Boylan

$3,821 交易量

15%

Gerry Hutch

$413,152 交易量

4%

Gillian Sherratt

$115,887 交易量

2%

馬拉基·斯廷森

$10,653 交易量

1%

約翰·史蒂芬斯

$40,766 交易量

1%

瑪麗·菲茨派翠克

$2,415 交易量

<1%

伊恩·諾埃爾·斯賓思

$4,773 交易量

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$1,912 交易量

<1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$1,784 交易量

<1%

Ray McAdam

$1,731 交易量

<1%

珍妮特·霍納

$2,004 交易量

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The first opinion poll for the Dublin Central by-election, released March 27 by Vote HQ with a sample of 437 likely voters, shows Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leading at 37%, 20 points ahead of Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan and independent Gerry Hutch at 17% each, driving trader consensus to price Ennis as a heavy favorite amid heavy Polymarket volume exceeding $450,000. Ennis, elected to Dublin City Council in 2024, benefits from positive door canvassing feedback in this working-class north inner city constituency grappling with housing shortages, poverty, and anti-social behavior. Boylan, a long-time councillor selected in late February, draws on Sinn Féin's local strength despite national polling dips, while Hutch's notoriety appeals narrowly despite his criminal history. Fine Gael's Ray McAdam at 7% trails after his March 23 selection as Lord Mayor; Fianna Fáil names its nominee March 30 ahead of the expected May vote under PR-STV rules.

The first opinion poll for the Dublin Central by-election, released March 27 by Vote HQ with a sample of 437 likely voters, shows Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leading at 37%, 20 points ahead of Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan and independent Gerry Hutch at 17% each, driving trader consensus to price Ennis as a heavy favorite amid heavy Polymarket volume exceeding $450,000. Ennis, elected to Dublin City Council in 2024, benefits from positive door canvassing feedback in this working-class north inner city constituency grappling with housing shortages, poverty, and anti-social behavior. Boylan, a long-time councillor selected in late February, draws on Sinn Féin's local strength despite national polling dips, while Hutch's notoriety appeals narrowly despite his criminal history. Fine Gael's Ray McAdam at 7% trails after his March 23 selection as Lord Mayor; Fianna Fáil names its nominee March 30 ahead of the expected May vote under PR-STV rules.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The first opinion poll for the Dublin Central by-election, released March 27 by Vote HQ with a sample of 437 likely voters, shows Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leading at 37%, 20 points ahead of Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan and independent Gerry Hutch at 17% each, driving trader consensus to price Ennis as a heavy favorite amid heavy Polymarket volume exceeding $450,000. Ennis, elected to Dublin City Council in 2024, benefits from positive door canvassing feedback in this working-class north inner city constituency grappling with housing shortages, poverty, and anti-social behavior. Boylan, a long-time councillor selected in late February, draws on Sinn Féin's local strength despite national polling dips, while Hutch's notoriety appeals narrowly despite his criminal history. Fine Gael's Ray McAdam at 7% trails after his March 23 selection as Lord Mayor; Fianna Fáil names its nominee March 30 ahead of the expected May vote under PR-STV rules.

The first opinion poll for the Dublin Central by-election, released March 27 by Vote HQ with a sample of 437 likely voters, shows Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leading at 37%, 20 points ahead of Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan and independent Gerry Hutch at 17% each, driving trader consensus to price Ennis as a heavy favorite amid heavy Polymarket volume exceeding $450,000. Ennis, elected to Dublin City Council in 2024, benefits from positive door canvassing feedback in this working-class north inner city constituency grappling with housing shortages, poverty, and anti-social behavior. Boylan, a long-time councillor selected in late February, draws on Sinn Féin's local strength despite national polling dips, while Hutch's notoriety appeals narrowly despite his criminal history. Fine Gael's Ray McAdam at 7% trails after his March 23 selection as Lord Mayor; Fianna Fáil names its nominee March 30 ahead of the expected May vote under PR-STV rules.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"都柏林市中心補選優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "丹尼爾·恩尼斯" at 76%, followed by "Janice Boylan" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "都柏林市中心補選優勝者" has generated $603.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "都柏林市中心補選優勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "都柏林市中心補選優勝者" is "丹尼爾·恩尼斯" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janice Boylan" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "都柏林市中心補選優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.