2028年民主黨總統提名人

Name: 2028年民主黨總統提名人
Start: 2025-07-11T18:41:17.827Z
End: 2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z

2028年民主黨總統提名人 — 討論

MaskedAnalyst · 2025-07-11T18:41:17.827Z

關於2028年民主黨總統提名人的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

選舉·世界選舉

2028年民主黨總統提名人

加文·紐森 24.3%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 8.3%

喬恩·奧索夫 5.6%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 4.3%

$931,424,779 交易量

Nov 7, 2028

賺 4% 收益

加文·紐森

$16,402,709 交易量

24%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$6,061,082 交易量

喬恩·奧索夫

$5,780,851 交易量

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$8,600,785 交易量

喬什·夏皮羅

$5,802,628 交易量

皮特·布塔朱吉

$9,424,018 交易量

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,453,042 交易量

J.B. Pritzker

$11,582,088 交易量

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$9,681,190 交易量

安迪·貝希爾

$6,012,205 交易量

馬克·凱利

$10,867,564 交易量

魯本·加列戈

$3,510,321 交易量

韋斯·摩爾

$13,424,401 交易量

羅·卡納

$4,176,789 交易量

格雷琴·惠特默

$7,111,088 交易量

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$43,020,731 交易量

米歇爾·奧巴馬

$21,324,531 交易量

拉姆·伊曼紐爾

$11,051,993 交易量

科里·布克

$20,909,064 交易量

馬克·庫班

$17,571,957 交易量

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$13,662,093 交易量

巨石強森

$8,618,063 交易量

克里斯·墨菲

$11,341,115 交易量

約翰·費特曼

$16,779,914 交易量

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$38,429,424 交易量

吉娜·雷蒙多

$27,189,313 交易量

喬治·克魯尼

$37,078,540 交易量

莉茲·切尼

$31,994,262 交易量

佐赫蘭·曼達尼

$32,928,966 交易量

切爾西·克林頓

$44,303,310 交易量

羅伊·庫珀

$24,594,419 交易量

賈里德·波利斯

$19,187,040 交易量

MrBeast

$35,108,177 交易量

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$37,294,701 交易量

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$25,097,731 交易量

蒂姆·瓦爾茲

$36,384,788 交易量

安德魯·楊

$41,905,965 交易量

金·卡戴珊

$32,731,596 交易量

菲爾·墨菲

$33,329,899 交易量

亨特·拜登

$31,319,559 交易量

賈思敏·克羅克特

$22,290,309 交易量

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$24,253,107 交易量

伯尼·桑德斯

$38,545,363 交易量

貝托·奧羅克

$31,317,953 交易量

加文·紐森 24.3%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 8.3%

喬恩·奧索夫 5.6%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 4.3%

$931,424,779 交易量

Nov 7, 2028

賺 4% 收益

加文·紐森

$16,402,709 交易量

24%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$6,061,082 交易量

喬恩·奧索夫

$5,780,851 交易量

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$8,600,785 交易量

喬什·夏皮羅

$5,802,628 交易量

皮特·布塔朱吉

$9,424,018 交易量

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,453,042 交易量

J.B. Pritzker

$11,582,088 交易量

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$9,681,190 交易量

安迪·貝希爾

$6,012,205 交易量

馬克·凱利

$10,867,564 交易量

魯本·加列戈

$3,510,321 交易量

韋斯·摩爾

$13,424,401 交易量

羅·卡納

$4,176,789 交易量

格雷琴·惠特默

$7,111,088 交易量

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$43,020,731 交易量

米歇爾·奧巴馬

$21,324,531 交易量

拉姆·伊曼紐爾

$11,051,993 交易量

科里·布克

$20,909,064 交易量

馬克·庫班

$17,571,957 交易量

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$13,662,093 交易量

巨石強森

$8,618,063 交易量

克里斯·墨菲

$11,341,115 交易量

約翰·費特曼

$16,779,914 交易量

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$38,429,424 交易量

吉娜·雷蒙多

$27,189,313 交易量

喬治·克魯尼

$37,078,540 交易量

莉茲·切尼

$31,994,262 交易量

佐赫蘭·曼達尼

$32,928,966 交易量

切爾西·克林頓

$44,303,310 交易量

羅伊·庫珀

$24,594,419 交易量

賈里德·波利斯

$19,187,040 交易量

MrBeast

$35,108,177 交易量

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$37,294,701 交易量

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$25,097,731 交易量

蒂姆·瓦爾茲

$36,384,788 交易量

安德魯·楊

$41,905,965 交易量

金·卡戴珊

$32,731,596 交易量

菲爾·墨菲

$33,329,899 交易量

亨特·拜登

$31,319,559 交易量

賈思敏·克羅克特

$22,290,309 交易量

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$24,253,107 交易量

伯尼·桑德斯

$38,545,363 交易量

貝托·奧羅克

$31,317,953 交易量

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by recent California primary polls showing him trouncing former Vice President Kamala Harris among state Democrats, alongside high-profile appearances like his March SXSW remarks tying a potential run to flipping the House in 2026 midterms and a Politico interview warning of electoral peril. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% with progressive appeal, while Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from Georgia incumbency. The fragmented field reflects post-2024 reset, with governors like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg drawing swing-state and moderate interest; 2026 midterm outcomes and early fundraising could consolidate support behind a frontrunner amid no declared candidates.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 29, 2026, 9:01 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "加文·紐森" at 24%, followed by "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主黨總統提名人" has generated $931.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" is "加文·紐森" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2028年民主黨總統提名人." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $931.4 million traded on “2028年民主黨總統提名人,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 24¢ for "加文·紐森" in the "2028年民主黨總統提名人" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 24% chance that "加文·紐森" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 24¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 76¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2028年民主黨總統提名人" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 3 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "2028年民主黨總統提名人" market has an active community of 618 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2028年民主黨總統提名人." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2028年民主黨總統提名人

2028年民主黨總統提名人

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Frequently Asked Questions

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