IPOs Odds &amp; Predictions | Polymarket

$432K Vol.

Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap

<150B

150–200B

<1%

$56K Vol.

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

49%

Goldman Sachs

49%

$716K Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

86%

Yes86%No14%

Anthropic

Yes8%No92%

$569K Vol.

Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

<100B

<1%

100–125B

$229K Vol.

IPOs before 2027?

Cerebras

95%

Yes95%No5%

SpaceX

87%

Yes87%No13%

$4M Vol.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

91%

>$1.2T

84%

Yes84%No16%

$575K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

<1%

500B–600B

<1%

$2M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

<100B

<1%

100–200B

<1%

$648K Vol.

Daily

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

500–750B

$1M Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B

56%

Yes56%No44%

$1T

36%

Yes36%No64%

$1M Vol.

Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap

<80B

80–100B

$104K Vol.

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

March 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

December 31, 2026

91%

$1M Vol.

OKX IPO in 2026?

30%

chance

Yes

$456K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

No IPO before 2028

<1.0T

$312K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 2026

Yes3%No97%

December 31, 2026

39%

Yes39%No61%

$1M Vol.

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

March 31

June 30

62%

Yes62%No38%

$53K Vol.

Consensys IPO by ___ ?

March 31, 2026

June 30, 2026

Yes5%No95%

$192K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

Yes7%No93%

500–750B

10%

Yes10%No90%

NEW

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

23%

chance

Yes

$233K Vol.

All

Elon Musk

App Store

SpaceX

Apple

IPOs

Science

OpenAI

MicroStrategy

Big Tech

TikTok

Prediction Markets

IPOs

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

<15B

11%

Yes11%No89%

15–20B

<1%

$432K Vol.

Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap

<150B

150–200B

<1%

$56K Vol.

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

49%

Goldman Sachs

49%

$716K Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

86%

Yes86%No14%

Anthropic

Yes8%No92%

$569K Vol.

Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

<100B

<1%

100–125B

$229K Vol.

IPOs before 2027?

Cerebras

95%

Yes95%No5%

SpaceX

87%

Yes87%No13%

$4M Vol.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

91%

>$1.2T

84%

Yes84%No16%

$575K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

<1%

500B–600B

<1%

$2M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

<100B

<1%

100–200B

<1%

$648K Vol.

Daily

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

500–750B

$1M Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B

56%

Yes56%No44%

$1T

36%

Yes36%No64%

$1M Vol.

Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap

<80B

80–100B

$104K Vol.

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

March 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

December 31, 2026

91%

$1M Vol.

OKX IPO in 2026?

30%

chance

Yes

$456K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

No IPO before 2028

<1.0T

$312K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 2026

Yes3%No97%

December 31, 2026

39%

Yes39%No61%

$1M Vol.

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

March 31

June 30

62%

Yes62%No38%

$53K Vol.

Consensys IPO by ___ ?

March 31, 2026