Trader sentiment in the tech IPO landscape hinges on Cerebras' mid-April S-1 filing and ongoing roadshow, coupled with its May 4 announcement of a $3.5 billion raise at a $26.6 billion valuation, fueled by surging demand for AI chips with over $10 billion in orders. SpaceX bolsters optimism via its early-April confidential SEC filing, public prospectus revealing a potential $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion valuation, and planned June roadshow amid Starship progress. Discord's January filing sustains moderate positioning, while OpenAI faces delays from CFO concerns over growth shortfalls and high capital expenditures. Databricks and Stripe signal readiness through debt raises and tender offers but lack filings. Watch Cerebras' mid-May pricing and SpaceX updates as pivotal catalysts in this high-stakes race before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6,119,786 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Cerebras
100%
SpaceX
94%
Discord
60%
Anthropic
59%
Remote
32%
OpenAI
27%
SHEIN
19%
Applied Intuition
23%
Deel
20%
Databricks
20%
WHOOP
18%
Mistral AI
16%
Ledger
16%
Rippling
14%
Freddie Mac
14%
Anduril
14%
ByteDance
14%
Glean
12%
Celonis
12%
Fannie Mae
12%
Anduril Industries
12%
Ramp
11%
Epic Games
11%
Ripple Labs
10%
Anysphere (Cursor)
9%
Vanta
9%
Revolut
8%
Canva
8%
Stripe
7%
Waymo
3%
Brex
1%
$6,119,786 Vol.
Cerebras
$387,616 Vol.
100%
SpaceX
$557,252 Vol.
94%
Discord
$443,519 Vol.
60%
Anthropic
$216,263 Vol.
59%
Remote
$54,380 Vol.
32%
OpenAI
$230,217 Vol.
27%
SHEIN
$78,403 Vol.
19%
Applied Intuition
$191,300 Vol.
23%
Deel
$121,608 Vol.
20%
Databricks
$467,234 Vol.
20%
WHOOP
$173 Vol.
18%
Mistral AI
$148,253 Vol.
16%
Ledger
$508,108 Vol.
16%
Rippling
$117,183 Vol.
14%
Freddie Mac
$243,893 Vol.
14%
Anduril
$350,089 Vol.
14%
ByteDance
$9,195 Vol.
14%
Glean
$44,599 Vol.
12%
Celonis
$207,715 Vol.
12%
Fannie Mae
$161,134 Vol.
12%
Anduril Industries
$30,014 Vol.
12%
Ramp
$143,880 Vol.
11%
Epic Games
$70,995 Vol.
11%
Ripple Labs
$145,535 Vol.
10%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$96,990 Vol.
9%
Vanta
$130,365 Vol.
9%
Revolut
$56,567 Vol.
8%
Canva
$35,364 Vol.
8%
Stripe
$249,632 Vol.
7%
Waymo
$51,348 Vol.
3%
Brex
$210,299 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment in the tech IPO landscape hinges on Cerebras' mid-April S-1 filing and ongoing roadshow, coupled with its May 4 announcement of a $3.5 billion raise at a $26.6 billion valuation, fueled by surging demand for AI chips with over $10 billion in orders. SpaceX bolsters optimism via its early-April confidential SEC filing, public prospectus revealing a potential $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion valuation, and planned June roadshow amid Starship progress. Discord's January filing sustains moderate positioning, while OpenAI faces delays from CFO concerns over growth shortfalls and high capital expenditures. Databricks and Stripe signal readiness through debt raises and tender offers but lack filings. Watch Cerebras' mid-May pricing and SpaceX updates as pivotal catalysts in this high-stakes race before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$6,119,786End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment in the tech IPO landscape hinges on Cerebras' mid-April S-1 filing and ongoing roadshow, coupled with its May 4 announcement of a $3.5 billion raise at a $26.6 billion valuation, fueled by surging demand for AI chips with over $10 billion in orders. SpaceX bolsters optimism via its early-April confidential SEC filing, public prospectus revealing a potential $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion valuation, and planned June roadshow amid Starship progress. Discord's January filing sustains moderate positioning, while OpenAI faces delays from CFO concerns over growth shortfalls and high capital expenditures. Databricks and Stripe signal readiness through debt raises and tender offers but lack filings. Watch Cerebras' mid-May pricing and SpaceX updates as pivotal catalysts in this high-stakes race before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,119,786End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in the tech IPO landscape hinges on Cerebras' mid-April S-1 filing and ongoing roadshow, coupled with its May 4 announcement of a $3.5 billion raise at a $26.6 billion valuation, fueled by surging demand for AI chips with over $10 billion in orders. SpaceX bolsters optimism via its early-April confidential SEC filing, public prospectus revealing a potential $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion valuation, and planned June roadshow amid Starship progress. Discord's January filing sustains moderate positioning, while OpenAI faces delays from CFO concerns over growth shortfalls and high capital expenditures. Databricks and Stripe signal readiness through debt raises and tender offers but lack filings. Watch Cerebras' mid-May pricing and SpaceX updates as pivotal catalysts in this high-stakes race before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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