Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93% in the Wyoming Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—R+23 partisan lean, Republican trifecta, and no Democratic U.S. Senator since 1977—with average GOP Senate margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement opened the seat, but her January endorsement of Rep. Harriet Hageman, a Trump ally and leading Republican primary contender alongside veteran Jimmy Skovgard, sustains party strength ahead of the August 18 closed primary. Democrats field former Rep. James Byrd in a sparse contest. Scenarios challenging this include a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, fractured primary turnout, or an unforeseen national anti-Republican wave, though historical base rates suggest low likelihood absent major shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
93%
Демократ
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
$5,775 Объем
93%
Демократ
$1,939 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93% in the Wyoming Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—R+23 partisan lean, Republican trifecta, and no Democratic U.S. Senator since 1977—with average GOP Senate margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement opened the seat, but her January endorsement of Rep. Harriet Hageman, a Trump ally and leading Republican primary contender alongside veteran Jimmy Skovgard, sustains party strength ahead of the August 18 closed primary. Democrats field former Rep. James Byrd in a sparse contest. Scenarios challenging this include a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, fractured primary turnout, or an unforeseen national anti-Republican wave, though historical base rates suggest low likelihood absent major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$7,714Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93% in the Wyoming Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—R+23 partisan lean, Republican trifecta, and no Democratic U.S. Senator since 1977—with average GOP Senate margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement opened the seat, but her January endorsement of Rep. Harriet Hageman, a Trump ally and leading Republican primary contender alongside veteran Jimmy Skovgard, sustains party strength ahead of the August 18 closed primary. Democrats field former Rep. James Byrd in a sparse contest. Scenarios challenging this include a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, fractured primary turnout, or an unforeseen national anti-Republican wave, though historical base rates suggest low likelihood absent major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$7,714Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 93% in the Wyoming Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—R+23 partisan lean, Republican trifecta, and no Democratic U.S. Senator since 1977—with average GOP Senate margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement opened the seat, but her January endorsement of Rep. Harriet Hageman, a Trump ally and leading Republican primary contender alongside veteran Jimmy Skovgard, sustains party strength ahead of the August 18 closed primary. Democrats field former Rep. James Byrd in a sparse contest. Scenarios challenging this include a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, fractured primary turnout, or an unforeseen national anti-Republican wave, though historical base rates suggest low likelihood absent major shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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