In Wyoming's open Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18—triggered by term limits barring incumbent Mark Gordon—Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder dominates trader consensus at 75% implied probability, fueled by President Trump's January endorsement and U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman's influential March 25 backing, which consolidates conservative support in a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates. State Sen. Eric Barlow holds second at 15% amid recent campaign visibility, including March stops and leadership announcements, positioning him as a viable challenger. Gordon's low odds reflect his ineligibility, while scattered legislator bids like Chuck Gray's dilute opposition, with no public polls yet to challenge the wisdom-of-crowds pricing ahead of filing deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМеган Дегенфельдер 75.4%
Эрик Барлоу 14.8%
Марк Гордон 2.9%
Харриет Хейгеман 1.4%
$48,145 Объем
$48,145 Объем
Меган Дегенфельдер
75%
Эрик Барлоу
15%
Марк Гордон
3%
Харриет Хейгеман
1%
Чак Грей
1%
Брент Бьен
1%
Джозеф Киблер
1%
Оген Дрискилл
1%
Бо Байтеман
<1%
Тара Неттеркотт
<1%
Рид Раснер
<1%
Пол Ульрих
<1%
Чип Найман
<1%
Кёрт Майер
<1%
Чери Стайнмец
<1%
Меган Дегенфельдер 75.4%
Эрик Барлоу 14.8%
Марк Гордон 2.9%
Харриет Хейгеман 1.4%
$48,145 Объем
$48,145 Объем
Меган Дегенфельдер
75%
Эрик Барлоу
15%
Марк Гордон
3%
Харриет Хейгеман
1%
Чак Грей
1%
Брент Бьен
1%
Джозеф Киблер
1%
Оген Дрискилл
1%
Бо Байтеман
<1%
Тара Неттеркотт
<1%
Рид Раснер
<1%
Пол Ульрих
<1%
Чип Найман
<1%
Кёрт Майер
<1%
Чери Стайнмец
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Wyoming's open Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18—triggered by term limits barring incumbent Mark Gordon—Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder dominates trader consensus at 75% implied probability, fueled by President Trump's January endorsement and U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman's influential March 25 backing, which consolidates conservative support in a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates. State Sen. Eric Barlow holds second at 15% amid recent campaign visibility, including March stops and leadership announcements, positioning him as a viable challenger. Gordon's low odds reflect his ineligibility, while scattered legislator bids like Chuck Gray's dilute opposition, with no public polls yet to challenge the wisdom-of-crowds pricing ahead of filing deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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