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Выборы·Канада

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

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Выборы·Канада

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Danielle Martin 95.5%

Serena Purdy 2.2%

Samuel Baxter 2.2%

Raiden DeDominicis 2.2%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Danielle Martin 95.5%

Serena Purdy 2.2%

Samuel Baxter 2.2%

Raiden DeDominicis 2.2%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Market icon

Danielle Martin

$79 Объем

96%

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Serena Purdy

$27 Объем

2%

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Samuel Baxter

$27 Объем

2%

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Raiden DeDominicis

$27 Объем

2%

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Leslie Bory

$27 Объем

2%

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Don Hodgson

$27 Объем

2%

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Imran Khan

$27 Объем

2%

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Bill Whatcott

$27 Объем

2%

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Andrew Massey

$27 Объем

2%

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Andy D’Andrea

$27 Объем

2%

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Danielle Martin holds a commanding 96% trader consensus as the Liberal frontrunner in the University—Rosedale federal by-election set for April 13, driven by the riding's entrenched Liberal dominance—Chrystia Freeland captured 64% there in the 2025 general election—and Martin's profile as a University of Toronto family medicine chair and health care advocate. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active Liberal door-knocking by MPs, underscoring organizational strength in this urban Toronto district. Fragmented opposition, including Conservative Don Hodgson (23% in 2025) and NDP's Serena Purdy (10%), lacks momentum per historical base rates in low-turnout by-elections. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, national backlash boosting Conservatives, or surge turnout tilting against the government, though structural advantages point to a Liberal hold.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Объем
$314
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Danielle Martin holds a commanding 96% trader consensus as the Liberal frontrunner in the University—Rosedale federal by-election set for April 13, driven by the riding's entrenched Liberal dominance—Chrystia Freeland captured 64% there in the 2025 general election—and Martin's profile as a University of Toronto family medicine chair and health care advocate. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active Liberal door-knocking by MPs, underscoring organizational strength in this urban Toronto district. Fragmented opposition, including Conservative Don Hodgson (23% in 2025) and NDP's Serena Purdy (10%), lacks momentum per historical base rates in low-turnout by-elections. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, national backlash boosting Conservatives, or surge turnout tilting against the government, though structural advantages point to a Liberal hold.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Объем
$314
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«University—Rosedale By-Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Danielle Martin» с 96%, за ним следует «Serena Purdy» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 96¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«University—Rosedale By-Election Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «University—Rosedale By-Election Winner», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «University—Rosedale By-Election Winner» — «Danielle Martin» с 96%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Serena Purdy» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «University—Rosedale By-Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.