Market icon

Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$42,058 Объем

On September 25, Mira Murati announced she was leaving OpenAI (https://x.com/miramurati/status/1839025700009030027).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mira Murati announces she is joining Anthropic by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Murati announces she is joining another organization in a full time capacity, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement made within this market's timeframe will be sufficient for a resolution regardless of whether Murati actually joins the company she says she will.

The primary resolution source will be statements from Murati.
Объем
$42,058
Дата окончания
Oct 31, 2024
Дата создания
Sep 25, 2024, 4:55 PM ET
On September 25, Mira Murati announced she was leaving OpenAI (https://x.com/miramurati/status/1839025700009030027). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mira Murati announces she is joining Anthropic by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Murati announces she is joining another organization in a full time capacity, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement made within this market's timeframe will be sufficient for a resolution regardless of whether Murati actually joins the company she says she will. The primary resolution source will be statements from Murati.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?" has generated $42.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$42,058 Объем

On September 25, Mira Murati announced she was leaving OpenAI (https://x.com/miramurati/status/1839025700009030027).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mira Murati announces she is joining Anthropic by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Murati announces she is joining another organization in a full time capacity, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement made within this market's timeframe will be sufficient for a resolution regardless of whether Murati actually joins the company she says she will.

The primary resolution source will be statements from Murati.
Объем
$42,058
Дата окончания
Oct 31, 2024
Дата создания
Sep 25, 2024, 4:55 PM ET
On September 25, Mira Murati announced she was leaving OpenAI (https://x.com/miramurati/status/1839025700009030027). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mira Murati announces she is joining Anthropic by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Murati announces she is joining another organization in a full time capacity, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement made within this market's timeframe will be sufficient for a resolution regardless of whether Murati actually joins the company she says she will. The primary resolution source will be statements from Murati.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?" has generated $42.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.