Trader sentiment on U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 reflects a tight contest between 4.5%+ (37%) and 4.0–4.4% (34.5%) outcomes, driven by escalating geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict spiking energy prices and offsetting earlier disinflationary forces. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with core measures ticking up to 3.2%, while wage growth eased to a five-year low of 3.8% in Q1. The Bank of England's March Monetary Policy Committee unanimously held Bank Rate at 3.75%, raising its Q3 forecast to 3.5% amid higher oil and gas costs, aligning with surging public long-term expectations at 4.5%. March CPI data, due soon, could sway the balance toward stickier inflation above the 2% target.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕжегодная инфляция Великобритании 2026
Ежегодная инфляция Великобритании 2026
2,0–2,4% 28%
2,5–2,9% 24%
3,5–3,9% 17%
<1,0% 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
7%
1,0–1,4%
5%
1,5–1,9%
20%
2,0–2,4%
28%
2,5–2,9%
24%
3,5–3,9%
10%
4,0–4,4%
35%
4,5%+
37%
2,0–2,4% 28%
2,5–2,9% 24%
3,5–3,9% 17%
<1,0% 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$0 Объем
7%
1,0–1,4%
$0 Объем
5%
1,5–1,9%
$448 Объем
20%
2,0–2,4%
$267 Объем
28%
2,5–2,9%
$350 Объем
24%
3,5–3,9%
$0 Объем
10%
4,0–4,4%
$0 Объем
35%
4,5%+
$243 Объем
37%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader sentiment on U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 reflects a tight contest between 4.5%+ (37%) and 4.0–4.4% (34.5%) outcomes, driven by escalating geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict spiking energy prices and offsetting earlier disinflationary forces. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with core measures ticking up to 3.2%, while wage growth eased to a five-year low of 3.8% in Q1. The Bank of England's March Monetary Policy Committee unanimously held Bank Rate at 3.75%, raising its Q3 forecast to 3.5% amid higher oil and gas costs, aligning with surging public long-term expectations at 4.5%. March CPI data, due soon, could sway the balance toward stickier inflation above the 2% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$1,309Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader sentiment on U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 reflects a tight contest between 4.5%+ (37%) and 4.0–4.4% (34.5%) outcomes, driven by escalating geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict spiking energy prices and offsetting earlier disinflationary forces. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with core measures ticking up to 3.2%, while wage growth eased to a five-year low of 3.8% in Q1. The Bank of England's March Monetary Policy Committee unanimously held Bank Rate at 3.75%, raising its Q3 forecast to 3.5% amid higher oil and gas costs, aligning with surging public long-term expectations at 4.5%. March CPI data, due soon, could sway the balance toward stickier inflation above the 2% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Объем
$1,309Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 reflects a tight contest between 4.5%+ (37%) and 4.0–4.4% (34.5%) outcomes, driven by escalating geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict spiking energy prices and offsetting earlier disinflationary forces. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with core measures ticking up to 3.2%, while wage growth eased to a five-year low of 3.8% in Q1. The Bank of England's March Monetary Policy Committee unanimously held Bank Rate at 3.75%, raising its Q3 forecast to 3.5% amid higher oil and gas costs, aligning with surging public long-term expectations at 4.5%. March CPI data, due soon, could sway the balance toward stickier inflation above the 2% target.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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