Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices—up nearly 10% in March due to geopolitical tensions—and a weakening Korean won, despite March CPI rising modestly to 2.2% year-over-year, undershooting forecasts of 2.4%. Major investment banks, including Standard Chartered and ING, recently lifted their 2026 CPI projections to 2.4% from prior estimates near the Bank of Korea's 2.1% baseline, citing persistent energy cost pressures and core inflation around 2.5%. The BOK's core forecast holds at 2.0%, supporting its neutral policy stance with rates steady at 2.5%. Traders also assign 25% odds to sub-1.5% deflationary risks amid slowing growth, with the April 9 policy meeting as the next key catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено3,0%+ 44%
<1,5% 18.0%
от 1,8% до 2,0% 17%
2,4% до 2,6% 16%
$10,128 Объем
$10,128 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<1,5%
23%
1,5% — 1,7%
19%
от 1,8% до 2,0%
17%
От 2,1% до 2,3%
12%
2,4% до 2,6%
16%
От 2,7% до 2,9%
15%
3,0%+
44%
3,0%+ 44%
<1,5% 18.0%
от 1,8% до 2,0% 17%
2,4% до 2,6% 16%
$10,128 Объем
$10,128 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<1,5%
$937 Объем
23%
1,5% — 1,7%
$942 Объем
19%
от 1,8% до 2,0%
$0 Объем
17%
От 2,1% до 2,3%
$112 Объем
12%
2,4% до 2,6%
$0 Объем
16%
От 2,7% до 2,9%
$89 Объем
15%
3,0%+
$8,049 Объем
44%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices—up nearly 10% in March due to geopolitical tensions—and a weakening Korean won, despite March CPI rising modestly to 2.2% year-over-year, undershooting forecasts of 2.4%. Major investment banks, including Standard Chartered and ING, recently lifted their 2026 CPI projections to 2.4% from prior estimates near the Bank of Korea's 2.1% baseline, citing persistent energy cost pressures and core inflation around 2.5%. The BOK's core forecast holds at 2.0%, supporting its neutral policy stance with rates steady at 2.5%. Traders also assign 25% odds to sub-1.5% deflationary risks amid slowing growth, with the April 9 policy meeting as the next key catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Объем
$10,128Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices—up nearly 10% in March due to geopolitical tensions—and a weakening Korean won, despite March CPI rising modestly to 2.2% year-over-year, undershooting forecasts of 2.4%. Major investment banks, including Standard Chartered and ING, recently lifted their 2026 CPI projections to 2.4% from prior estimates near the Bank of Korea's 2.1% baseline, citing persistent energy cost pressures and core inflation around 2.5%. The BOK's core forecast holds at 2.0%, supporting its neutral policy stance with rates steady at 2.5%. Traders also assign 25% odds to sub-1.5% deflationary risks amid slowing growth, with the April 9 policy meeting as the next key catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Объем
$10,128Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices—up nearly 10% in March due to geopolitical tensions—and a weakening Korean won, despite March CPI rising modestly to 2.2% year-over-year, undershooting forecasts of 2.4%. Major investment banks, including Standard Chartered and ING, recently lifted their 2026 CPI projections to 2.4% from prior estimates near the Bank of Korea's 2.1% baseline, citing persistent energy cost pressures and core inflation around 2.5%. The BOK's core forecast holds at 2.0%, supporting its neutral policy stance with rates steady at 2.5%. Traders also assign 25% odds to sub-1.5% deflationary risks amid slowing growth, with the April 9 policy meeting as the next key catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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