Oklahoma's status as a deep-red stronghold, where Republicans have won Senate races by double-digit margins for decades, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Markwayne Mullin's early March appointment as DHS Secretary created a vacancy filled by Gov. Kevin Stitt's interim pick of Tulsa businessman Alan Armstrong, who by state law cannot run for the full term, ensuring an open seat. Rep. Kevin Hern's March entry into the GOP primary—now backed by Sen. James Lankford—has solidified a competitive Republican field ahead of the June 16 primaries, while Democrats lack a viable contender. Disruptions like a GOP nominee scandal, national Democratic wave, or legal challenges could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the GOP hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Оклахомы
Победитель выборов в Сенат Оклахомы
$11,098 Объем
$11,098 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
94%
Демократ
5%
$11,098 Объем
$11,098 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
$6,634 Объем
94%
Демократ
$4,464 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's status as a deep-red stronghold, where Republicans have won Senate races by double-digit margins for decades, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Markwayne Mullin's early March appointment as DHS Secretary created a vacancy filled by Gov. Kevin Stitt's interim pick of Tulsa businessman Alan Armstrong, who by state law cannot run for the full term, ensuring an open seat. Rep. Kevin Hern's March entry into the GOP primary—now backed by Sen. James Lankford—has solidified a competitive Republican field ahead of the June 16 primaries, while Democrats lack a viable contender. Disruptions like a GOP nominee scandal, national Democratic wave, or legal challenges could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$11,098Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's status as a deep-red stronghold, where Republicans have won Senate races by double-digit margins for decades, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Markwayne Mullin's early March appointment as DHS Secretary created a vacancy filled by Gov. Kevin Stitt's interim pick of Tulsa businessman Alan Armstrong, who by state law cannot run for the full term, ensuring an open seat. Rep. Kevin Hern's March entry into the GOP primary—now backed by Sen. James Lankford—has solidified a competitive Republican field ahead of the June 16 primaries, while Democrats lack a viable contender. Disruptions like a GOP nominee scandal, national Democratic wave, or legal challenges could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$11,098Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's status as a deep-red stronghold, where Republicans have won Senate races by double-digit margins for decades, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Markwayne Mullin's early March appointment as DHS Secretary created a vacancy filled by Gov. Kevin Stitt's interim pick of Tulsa businessman Alan Armstrong, who by state law cannot run for the full term, ensuring an open seat. Rep. Kevin Hern's March entry into the GOP primary—now backed by Sen. James Lankford—has solidified a competitive Republican field ahead of the June 16 primaries, while Democrats lack a viable contender. Disruptions like a GOP nominee scandal, national Democratic wave, or legal challenges could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the GOP hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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