Polymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight 25-30% range across the 3.00-5.49% bins, with the 3.50-3.99% outcome leading at 30.5%, reflecting balanced sentiment amid recent headline CPI acceleration to 4.02% in February—exceeding forecasts—and 4.63% in early March, driven by food and energy pressures. Core inflation remains sticky near 4.50%, tempering optimism, yet Banxico's surprise 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26 signals confidence in convergence toward the 3% target (±1%). Analyst surveys, including Banxico's latest, cluster end-2026 forecasts at 3.9-4.1%, underscoring competitive dynamics hinging on upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC policy signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоОт 3,50% до 3,99% 31%
4,50% до 4,99% 28%
5,00% до 5,49% 26.3%
5,50%+ 12%
$33,843 Объем
$33,843 Объем
8 янв. 2027 г.
<2,50%
13%
2,50%–2,99%
3%
3,00% до 3,49%
27%
От 3,50% до 3,99%
31%
4,00% – 4,49%
29%
4,50% до 4,99%
28%
5,00% до 5,49%
26%
5,50%+
22%
От 3,50% до 3,99% 31%
4,50% до 4,99% 28%
5,00% до 5,49% 26.3%
5,50%+ 12%
$33,843 Объем
$33,843 Объем
8 янв. 2027 г.
<2,50%
$0 Объем
13%
2,50%–2,99%
$0 Объем
3%
3,00% до 3,49%
$25,641 Объем
27%
От 3,50% до 3,99%
$250 Объем
31%
4,00% – 4,49%
$286 Объем
29%
4,50% до 4,99%
$2,995 Объем
28%
5,00% до 5,49%
$356 Объем
26%
5,50%+
$4,316 Объем
22%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioPolymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight 25-30% range across the 3.00-5.49% bins, with the 3.50-3.99% outcome leading at 30.5%, reflecting balanced sentiment amid recent headline CPI acceleration to 4.02% in February—exceeding forecasts—and 4.63% in early March, driven by food and energy pressures. Core inflation remains sticky near 4.50%, tempering optimism, yet Banxico's surprise 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26 signals confidence in convergence toward the 3% target (±1%). Analyst surveys, including Banxico's latest, cluster end-2026 forecasts at 3.9-4.1%, underscoring competitive dynamics hinging on upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC policy signals.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Объем
$33,843Дата окончания
8 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioPolymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight 25-30% range across the 3.00-5.49% bins, with the 3.50-3.99% outcome leading at 30.5%, reflecting balanced sentiment amid recent headline CPI acceleration to 4.02% in February—exceeding forecasts—and 4.63% in early March, driven by food and energy pressures. Core inflation remains sticky near 4.50%, tempering optimism, yet Banxico's surprise 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26 signals confidence in convergence toward the 3% target (±1%). Analyst surveys, including Banxico's latest, cluster end-2026 forecasts at 3.9-4.1%, underscoring competitive dynamics hinging on upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC policy signals.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Объем
$33,843Дата окончания
8 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight 25-30% range across the 3.00-5.49% bins, with the 3.50-3.99% outcome leading at 30.5%, reflecting balanced sentiment amid recent headline CPI acceleration to 4.02% in February—exceeding forecasts—and 4.63% in early March, driven by food and energy pressures. Core inflation remains sticky near 4.50%, tempering optimism, yet Banxico's surprise 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26 signals confidence in convergence toward the 3% target (±1%). Analyst surveys, including Banxico's latest, cluster end-2026 forecasts at 3.9-4.1%, underscoring competitive dynamics hinging on upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC policy signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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