Recent polls, including Emerson College (55% Platner to 28% Mills, March 21-23) and Impact Research (66-28%, March 19-23), underscore Graham Platner's commanding lead in Maine's Democratic U.S. Senate primary, set for June 9 under ranked-choice voting, reflecting trader consensus at 91% implied probability. The combat veteran and oyster farmer's outsider appeal as a working-class challenger has propelled his momentum against two-term Gov. Janet Mills, bolstered by strong fundraising and endorsements like state Sen. Troy Jackson's, despite her recent negative ads highlighting past social media posts. Challenges could arise from escalating attacks eroding Platner's favorability, late party establishment shifts, or RCV reallocations favoring Mills among undecideds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн
Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн
Грэм Платнер 91%
Дженет Миллс 9%
Джордан Вуд <1%
Дэн Клебан <1%
$2,132,708 Объем
$2,132,708 Объем
Грэм Платнер
91%
Дженет Миллс
9%
Дэн Клебан
<1%
Челли Пингри
<1%
Джордан Вуд
<1%
Troy Jackson
<1%
Джаред Голден
<1%
Грэм Платнер 91%
Дженет Миллс 9%
Джордан Вуд <1%
Дэн Клебан <1%
$2,132,708 Объем
$2,132,708 Объем
Грэм Платнер
91%
Дженет Миллс
9%
Дэн Клебан
<1%
Челли Пингри
<1%
Джордан Вуд
<1%
Troy Jackson
<1%
Джаред Голден
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Emerson College (55% Platner to 28% Mills, March 21-23) and Impact Research (66-28%, March 19-23), underscore Graham Platner's commanding lead in Maine's Democratic U.S. Senate primary, set for June 9 under ranked-choice voting, reflecting trader consensus at 91% implied probability. The combat veteran and oyster farmer's outsider appeal as a working-class challenger has propelled his momentum against two-term Gov. Janet Mills, bolstered by strong fundraising and endorsements like state Sen. Troy Jackson's, despite her recent negative ads highlighting past social media posts. Challenges could arise from escalating attacks eroding Platner's favorability, late party establishment shifts, or RCV reallocations favoring Mills among undecideds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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