Trader consensus favors 17°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24 at 29% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on daytime highs near that mark amid mild southerly flows and partial sunshine. Differentiating nearby outcomes, 19°C or higher (20.5%) hinges on stronger high-pressure ridging suppressing clouds, while 16°C (20.5%) and 18°C (19.5%) reflect uncertainty in northerly wind gusts and stratiform cloud decks from upstream moisture, per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Late-March normals average 16-18°C, with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; a Friday forecast update could shift odds as models refine boundary layer stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 24 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 24 марта?
17°C 29%
18°C 20%
19°C или выше 18%
16°C 17%
9°C или ниже
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
4%
15°C
15%
16°C
21%
17°C
29%
18°C
20%
19°C или выше
24%
17°C 29%
18°C 20%
19°C или выше 18%
16°C 17%
9°C или ниже
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
4%
15°C
15%
16°C
21%
17°C
29%
18°C
20%
19°C или выше
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 17°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24 at 29% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on daytime highs near that mark amid mild southerly flows and partial sunshine. Differentiating nearby outcomes, 19°C or higher (20.5%) hinges on stronger high-pressure ridging suppressing clouds, while 16°C (20.5%) and 18°C (19.5%) reflect uncertainty in northerly wind gusts and stratiform cloud decks from upstream moisture, per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Late-March normals average 16-18°C, with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; a Friday forecast update could shift odds as models refine boundary layer stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы