Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast models unanimously project Taipei's highest temperature on March 25 at 24°C, driven by persistent cool northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with highs capped by a shallow marine layer. Observational data from recent days show consistent readings around 22-24°C amid seasonal spring patterns, where March averages hover near 23°C historically, aligning with current La Niña-influenced cooler conditions across East Asia. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement and low volatility in urban temperature forecasts. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from clearing skies or a stalled frontal boundary, potentially pushing readings toward 27°C, though ensemble models show near-zero likelihood ahead of afternoon observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on March 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 25?
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$0.00 Объем
$0.00 Объем
Mar 25, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$0.00 Объем
$0.00 Объем
Mar 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Объем
No
23°C
$0 Объем
No
24°C
$0 Объем
Yes
25°C
$0 Объем
No
26°C
$0 Объем
No
27°C
$0 Объем
No
28°C
$0 Объем
No
29°C
$0 Объем
No
30°C
$0 Объем
No
31°C
$0 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$0 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast models unanimously project Taipei's highest temperature on March 25 at 24°C, driven by persistent cool northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with highs capped by a shallow marine layer. Observational data from recent days show consistent readings around 22-24°C amid seasonal spring patterns, where March averages hover near 23°C historically, aligning with current La Niña-influenced cooler conditions across East Asia. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement and low volatility in urban temperature forecasts. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from clearing skies or a stalled frontal boundary, potentially pushing readings toward 27°C, though ensemble models show near-zero likelihood ahead of afternoon observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Mar 25, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast models unanimously project Taipei's highest temperature on March 25 at 24°C, driven by persistent cool northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with highs capped by a shallow marine layer. Observational data from recent days show consistent readings around 22-24°C amid seasonal spring patterns, where March averages hover near 23°C historically, aligning with current La Niña-influenced cooler conditions across East Asia. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement and low volatility in urban temperature forecasts. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from clearing skies or a stalled frontal boundary, potentially pushing readings toward 27°C, though ensemble models show near-zero likelihood ahead of afternoon observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Mar 25, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast models unanimously project Taipei's highest temperature on March 25 at 24°C, driven by persistent cool northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with highs capped by a shallow marine layer. Observational data from recent days show consistent readings around 22-24°C amid seasonal spring patterns, where March averages hover near 23°C historically, aligning with current La Niña-influenced cooler conditions across East Asia. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement and low volatility in urban temperature forecasts. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from clearing skies or a stalled frontal boundary, potentially pushing readings toward 27°C, though ensemble models show near-zero likelihood ahead of afternoon observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы