Trader consensus heavily favors a Shanghai high of 18°C on March 22, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting daytime peaks in that range amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent observations show preceding days averaging 16-17°C highs, aligning with early spring norms where urban heat island effects boost temperatures 1-2°C above rural baselines. Chinese Meteorological Administration updates indicate low precipitation risk, supporting stability, while slight cooling from upstream cold fronts caps upside potential beyond 19°C. These factors position 18°C (47%) and 19°C (24.5%) as frontrunners, with 17°C viable if morning fog lingers, per historical March 22 data averaging 17.5°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 22?
18°C 46%
19°C 25%
17°C 19%
16°C 4.4%
$115,506 Объем
$115,506 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
19%
18°C
46%
19°C
25%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
3%
18°C 46%
19°C 25%
17°C 19%
16°C 4.4%
$115,506 Объем
$115,506 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
19%
18°C
46%
19°C
25%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Shanghai high of 18°C on March 22, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting daytime peaks in that range amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent observations show preceding days averaging 16-17°C highs, aligning with early spring norms where urban heat island effects boost temperatures 1-2°C above rural baselines. Chinese Meteorological Administration updates indicate low precipitation risk, supporting stability, while slight cooling from upstream cold fronts caps upside potential beyond 19°C. These factors position 18°C (47%) and 19°C (24.5%) as frontrunners, with 17°C viable if morning fog lingers, per historical March 22 data averaging 17.5°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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