Trader sentiment favors 17-19°C as Milan's highest temperature on March 25, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on mild conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean. This setup enables warm southerly air advection, elevating highs above the March climatological average of 13-15°C seen in Milan Linate Airport records. Tight probabilities among 16-20°C reflect model spread: cooler GFS perturbations eye 16-17°C with added cloudiness, while ECMWF warm outliers push toward 19°C via enhanced boundary-layer heating. Historical precedents show March 25 variability (8-22°C range), amplifying uncertainty as final soundings and local urban effects refine the peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 25 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 25 марта?
18°C 22%
17°C 22%
19°C 19%
16°C 19%
12°C или ниже
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
10%
15°C
18%
16°C
19%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
16%
21°C
12%
22°C или выше
7%
18°C 22%
17°C 22%
19°C 19%
16°C 19%
12°C или ниже
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
10%
15°C
18%
16°C
19%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
16%
21°C
12%
22°C или выше
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 17-19°C as Milan's highest temperature on March 25, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on mild conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean. This setup enables warm southerly air advection, elevating highs above the March climatological average of 13-15°C seen in Milan Linate Airport records. Tight probabilities among 16-20°C reflect model spread: cooler GFS perturbations eye 16-17°C with added cloudiness, while ECMWF warm outliers push toward 19°C via enhanced boundary-layer heating. Historical precedents show March 25 variability (8-22°C range), amplifying uncertainty as final soundings and local urban effects refine the peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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