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Highest temperature in Madrid on March 27?

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Highest temperature in Madrid on March 27?

18°C 100.0%

12°C or below <1%

13°C <1%

14°C <1%

Polymarket

$206,750 Объем

18°C 100.0%

12°C or below <1%

13°C <1%

14°C <1%

Polymarket

$206,750 Объем

12°C or below

$63,055 Объем

No

13°C

$4,662 Объем

No

14°C

$3,732 Объем

No

15°C

$5,428 Объем

No

16°C

$22,429 Объем

No

17°C

$19,643 Объем

No

18°C

$26,558 Объем

Yes

19°C

$20,707 Объем

No

20°C

$14,302 Объем

No

21°C

$11,459 Объем

No

22°C or higher

$14,775 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's designated measurement site—recorded a maximum temperature of 18°C on March 27, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome.** This reading aligns with late-March climatological norms for Madrid, where typical highs range 16–19°C under variable spring atmospheric patterns influenced by continental air masses and occasional cloud cover, as seen in preliminary hourly data released late Friday. Pre-event forecast models from AEMET and ECMWF had converged on 17–19°C peaks amid moderate winds and partial sunshine, with no late-day surges observed. Scenarios challenging this include rare official data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibrations, though such adjustments occur infrequently for established airport stations; final AEMET daily summaries expected shortly will confirm resolution.

**Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's designated measurement site—recorded a maximum temperature of 18°C on March 27, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome.** This reading aligns with late-March climatological norms for Madrid, where typical highs range 16–19°C under variable spring atmospheric patterns influenced by continental air masses and occasional cloud cover, as seen in preliminary hourly data released late Friday. Pre-event forecast models from AEMET and ECMWF had converged on 17–19°C peaks amid moderate winds and partial sunshine, with no late-day surges observed. Scenarios challenging this include rare official data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibrations, though such adjustments occur infrequently for established airport stations; final AEMET daily summaries expected shortly will confirm resolution.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's designated measurement site—recorded a maximum temperature of 18°C on March 27, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome.** This reading aligns with late-March climatological norms for Madrid, where typical highs range 16–19°C under variable spring atmospheric patterns influenced by continental air masses and occasional cloud cover, as seen in preliminary hourly data released late Friday. Pre-event forecast models from AEMET and ECMWF had converged on 17–19°C peaks amid moderate winds and partial sunshine, with no late-day surges observed. Scenarios challenging this include rare official data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibrations, though such adjustments occur infrequently for established airport stations; final AEMET daily summaries expected shortly will confirm resolution.

**Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's designated measurement site—recorded a maximum temperature of 18°C on March 27, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome.** This reading aligns with late-March climatological norms for Madrid, where typical highs range 16–19°C under variable spring atmospheric patterns influenced by continental air masses and occasional cloud cover, as seen in preliminary hourly data released late Friday. Pre-event forecast models from AEMET and ECMWF had converged on 17–19°C peaks amid moderate winds and partial sunshine, with no late-day surges observed. Scenarios challenging this include rare official data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibrations, though such adjustments occur infrequently for established airport stations; final AEMET daily summaries expected shortly will confirm resolution.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Madrid on March 27?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «18°C» с 100%, за ним следует «12°C or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Madrid on March 27?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $206.8K с момента запуска рынка Mar 23, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Madrid on March 27?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Madrid on March 27?» — «18°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «12°C or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Madrid on March 27?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.