Florida's recent mid-decade congressional redistricting, passed by the state legislature in late April and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis on May 4, has reshaped the 22nd district's boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties, creating an open-seat dynamic that influences trader positioning. With the Democratic primary featuring Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle set for August 18 and a crowded Republican field including Michael Carbonara and others, the fragmented GOP contest raises questions about nominee strength. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating while Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted to Lean Republican, reflecting competing views on the new map's impact. This environment supports the current trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56.5% over Republicans at 34%, as primary outcomes and early fundraising trends remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-22
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-22
$14,220 Объем
$14,220 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
56%
Республиканская партия
29%
$14,220 Объем
$14,220 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,865 Объем
56%
Республиканская партия
$7,355 Объем
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's recent mid-decade congressional redistricting, passed by the state legislature in late April and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis on May 4, has reshaped the 22nd district's boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties, creating an open-seat dynamic that influences trader positioning. With the Democratic primary featuring Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle set for August 18 and a crowded Republican field including Michael Carbonara and others, the fragmented GOP contest raises questions about nominee strength. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating while Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted to Lean Republican, reflecting competing views on the new map's impact. This environment supports the current trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56.5% over Republicans at 34%, as primary outcomes and early fundraising trends remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Объем
$14,220Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's recent mid-decade congressional redistricting, passed by the state legislature in late April and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis on May 4, has reshaped the 22nd district's boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties, creating an open-seat dynamic that influences trader positioning. With the Democratic primary featuring Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle set for August 18 and a crowded Republican field including Michael Carbonara and others, the fragmented GOP contest raises questions about nominee strength. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating while Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted to Lean Republican, reflecting competing views on the new map's impact. This environment supports the current trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56.5% over Republicans at 34%, as primary outcomes and early fundraising trends remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,220Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's recent mid-decade congressional redistricting, passed by the state legislature in late April and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis on May 4, has reshaped the 22nd district's boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties, creating an open-seat dynamic that influences trader positioning. With the Democratic primary featuring Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle set for August 18 and a crowded Republican field including Michael Carbonara and others, the fragmented GOP contest raises questions about nominee strength. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating while Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted to Lean Republican, reflecting competing views on the new map's impact. This environment supports the current trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56.5% over Republicans at 34%, as primary outcomes and early fundraising trends remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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