In Bolivia's March 22, 2026 subnational elections, Leonardo Loza of the MAS-aligned Alianza Unidos Por los Pueblos secured the Cochabamba governorship outright with 40.4% of votes per official TED results proclaimed March 28, explaining the fragmented low odds across listed candidates as traders price in near-certainty for an unlisted outcome. Among them, Alejandro Mostajo Rueda leads market consensus at 17% implied probability after his strong third-place 14.3% finish, driven by anti-corruption messaging and appeal to urban youth via social media amid fraud allegations in rural areas. Sergio Oliver Rodríguez (Súmate-APB autonomists) placed second at 23.7% but lags due to concession; Juan Roberth Flores (Libre right-wing) trails on infrastructure pledges. No viable challenges or recounts loom, cementing Loza's path despite high pre-election undecideds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Кочабамбы (Боливия)
Победитель выборов губернатора Кочабамбы (Боливия)
Алехандро Мостахо Реда 16.9%
Марио Энрике Севирич 3.9%
Серхио Оливер Родригес 3.0%
Рут Алина Перельта 2.0%
$22,472 Объем
$22,472 Объем
Алехандро Мостахо Реда
17%
Марио Энрике Севирич
4%
Серхио Оливер Родригес
3%
Рут Алина Перельта
2%
Джон Ариэль Риоха
2%
Вильфредо Роландо Моралес
2%
Эстер Сория Гонсалес
1%
Ремихио Анкалье
1%
Хуан Роберт Флорес
5%
Алехандро Мостахо Реда 16.9%
Марио Энрике Севирич 3.9%
Серхио Оливер Родригес 3.0%
Рут Алина Перельта 2.0%
$22,472 Объем
$22,472 Объем
Алехандро Мостахо Реда
17%
Марио Энрике Севирич
4%
Серхио Оливер Родригес
3%
Рут Алина Перельта
2%
Джон Ариэль Риоха
2%
Вильфредо Роландо Моралес
2%
Эстер Сория Гонсалес
1%
Ремихио Анкалье
1%
Хуан Роберт Флорес
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Bolivia's March 22, 2026 subnational elections, Leonardo Loza of the MAS-aligned Alianza Unidos Por los Pueblos secured the Cochabamba governorship outright with 40.4% of votes per official TED results proclaimed March 28, explaining the fragmented low odds across listed candidates as traders price in near-certainty for an unlisted outcome. Among them, Alejandro Mostajo Rueda leads market consensus at 17% implied probability after his strong third-place 14.3% finish, driven by anti-corruption messaging and appeal to urban youth via social media amid fraud allegations in rural areas. Sergio Oliver Rodríguez (Súmate-APB autonomists) placed second at 23.7% but lags due to concession; Juan Roberth Flores (Libre right-wing) trails on infrastructure pledges. No viable challenges or recounts loom, cementing Loza's path despite high pre-election undecideds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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