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Клода 5 выпустили...?

Market icon

Клода 5 выпустили...?

Не выпущен до 28 февраля 100.0%

4 февраля <1%

5 февраля <1%

6 февраля <1%

Polymarket

$663,341 Объем

Не выпущен до 28 февраля 100.0%

4 февраля <1%

5 февраля <1%

6 февраля <1%

Polymarket

$663,341 Объем

4 февраля

$11,377 Объем

Нет

5 февраля

$47,434 Объем

Нет

6 февраля

$25,296 Объем

Нет

7 февраля

$14,572 Объем

Нет

8 февраля

$18,455 Объем

Нет

9 февраля

$21,650 Объем

Нет

10 февраля

$19,319 Объем

Нет

11 февраля

$21,798 Объем

Нет

12 февраля

$15,664 Объем

Нет

13 февраля

$20,611 Объем

Нет

14 февраля

$32,066 Объем

Нет

15 февраля

$16,314 Объем

Нет

16 февраля

$20,253 Объем

Нет

17 февраля

$48,299 Объем

Нет

18 февраля

$19,163 Объем

Нет

19 февраля

$34,677 Объем

Нет

20 февраля

$22,883 Объем

Нет

21 февраля

$12,269 Объем

Нет

22 февраля

$16,466 Объем

Нет

23 февраля

$14,224 Объем

Нет

24 февраля

$27,613 Объем

Нет

25 февраля

$14,684 Объем

Нет

26 февраля

$16,700 Объем

Нет

27 февраля

$16,963 Объем

Нет

28 февраля

$19,575 Объем

Нет

Не выпущен до 28 февраля

$115,017 Объем

Да

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by February 28" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is not made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Anthropic's Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g., Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$663,341
Дата окончания
Feb 28, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by February 28" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is not made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Anthropic's Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g., Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Клода 5 выпустили...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Не выпущен до 28 февраля" at 100%, followed by "4 февраля" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Клода 5 выпустили...?" has generated $663.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Клода 5 выпустили...?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Клода 5 выпустили...?" is "Не выпущен до 28 февраля" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4 февраля" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Клода 5 выпустили...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.