Polymarket traders express closely matched sentiment on China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation, with mild deflation (-0.9% to -0.5% at 19.2%) edging out the near-target band (1.6-2.0% at 18.6%), reflecting uncertainty over demand weakness offsetting policy support. February’s 1.3% YoY CPI surge—highest in three years—stemmed from Lunar New Year spending, but January’s 0.2% print and expected subdued March data underscore structural headwinds from property deleveraging, overcapacity, and sluggish consumption amid a 4.5-5% GDP target. Differentiating factors include PBOC monetary easing efficacy versus rising energy import costs from Middle East tensions boosting crude above $100. Upcoming March CPI (April 10) and Q1 GDP could sway the closely contested odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Китае в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в Китае в 2026 году
-0,9 – -0,5% 19.4%
0,1 – 0,5% 17%
-0,4 – 0,0% 14.5%
1,6–2,0% 12.7%
$30,351 Объем
$30,351 Объем
10 янв. 2027 г.
<-1,0%
5%
-0,9 – -0,5%
19%
-0,4 – 0,0%
14%
0,1 – 0,5%
15%
0,6–1,0%
10%
1,1 – 1,5%
11%
1,6–2,0%
19%
2,0-2,4%
6%
2,5%+
13%
-0,9 – -0,5% 19.4%
0,1 – 0,5% 17%
-0,4 – 0,0% 14.5%
1,6–2,0% 12.7%
$30,351 Объем
$30,351 Объем
10 янв. 2027 г.
<-1,0%
$16,679 Объем
5%
-0,9 – -0,5%
$1,684 Объем
19%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$1,711 Объем
14%
0,1 – 0,5%
$1,543 Объем
15%
0,6–1,0%
$1,488 Объем
10%
1,1 – 1,5%
$1,902 Объем
11%
1,6–2,0%
$2,381 Объем
19%
2,0-2,4%
$1,506 Объем
6%
2,5%+
$1,458 Объем
13%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders express closely matched sentiment on China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation, with mild deflation (-0.9% to -0.5% at 19.2%) edging out the near-target band (1.6-2.0% at 18.6%), reflecting uncertainty over demand weakness offsetting policy support. February’s 1.3% YoY CPI surge—highest in three years—stemmed from Lunar New Year spending, but January’s 0.2% print and expected subdued March data underscore structural headwinds from property deleveraging, overcapacity, and sluggish consumption amid a 4.5-5% GDP target. Differentiating factors include PBOC monetary easing efficacy versus rising energy import costs from Middle East tensions boosting crude above $100. Upcoming March CPI (April 10) and Q1 GDP could sway the closely contested odds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Объем
$30,351Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders express closely matched sentiment on China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation, with mild deflation (-0.9% to -0.5% at 19.2%) edging out the near-target band (1.6-2.0% at 18.6%), reflecting uncertainty over demand weakness offsetting policy support. February’s 1.3% YoY CPI surge—highest in three years—stemmed from Lunar New Year spending, but January’s 0.2% print and expected subdued March data underscore structural headwinds from property deleveraging, overcapacity, and sluggish consumption amid a 4.5-5% GDP target. Differentiating factors include PBOC monetary easing efficacy versus rising energy import costs from Middle East tensions boosting crude above $100. Upcoming March CPI (April 10) and Q1 GDP could sway the closely contested odds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Объем
$30,351Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders express closely matched sentiment on China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation, with mild deflation (-0.9% to -0.5% at 19.2%) edging out the near-target band (1.6-2.0% at 18.6%), reflecting uncertainty over demand weakness offsetting policy support. February’s 1.3% YoY CPI surge—highest in three years—stemmed from Lunar New Year spending, but January’s 0.2% print and expected subdued March data underscore structural headwinds from property deleveraging, overcapacity, and sluggish consumption amid a 4.5-5% GDP target. Differentiating factors include PBOC monetary easing efficacy versus rising energy import costs from Middle East tensions boosting crude above $100. Upcoming March CPI (April 10) and Q1 GDP could sway the closely contested odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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