Recent Gallup International and Alpha Research polls from late March position Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in first place at 28-31%, GERB-SDS second at 21-23%, and PP-DB third at 11-12%, marginally ahead of DPS at 10-11%, driving trader consensus that PP-DB secures third in the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This ordering reflects polling averages amid a stable early campaign, with no significant shifts during the first third despite Bulgaria's eighth vote since 2021 following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation. PP-DB's edge over DPS stems from consistent voter support among reformist and pro-EU blocs, while DPS maintains its ethnic minority base; low odds for GERB-SDS or others highlight barriers to overtaking the top three under proportional representation. Caretaker government measures aim for cleaner elections, but turnout uncertainty around 51% could influence final margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PP–DB 80%
DPS 14%
GERB-SDS 1.6%
Возраждане 1.3%
$17,068 Объем
$17,068 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
PP–DB
80%
DPS
14%
GERB-SDS
2%
Возраждане
1%
MECh
1%
PB
1%
Velichie
1%
BSP
1%
APS
<1%
ITN
<1%
PP–DB 80%
DPS 14%
GERB-SDS 1.6%
Возраждане 1.3%
$17,068 Объем
$17,068 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
PP–DB
$6,514 Объем
80%
DPS
$2,914 Объем
14%
GERB-SDS
$342 Объем
2%
Возраждане
$227 Объем
1%
MECh
$1,476 Объем
1%
PB
$429 Объем
1%
Velichie
$1,128 Объем
1%
BSP
$1,180 Объем
1%
APS
$1,221 Объем
<1%
ITN
$1,637 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent Gallup International and Alpha Research polls from late March position Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in first place at 28-31%, GERB-SDS second at 21-23%, and PP-DB third at 11-12%, marginally ahead of DPS at 10-11%, driving trader consensus that PP-DB secures third in the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This ordering reflects polling averages amid a stable early campaign, with no significant shifts during the first third despite Bulgaria's eighth vote since 2021 following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation. PP-DB's edge over DPS stems from consistent voter support among reformist and pro-EU blocs, while DPS maintains its ethnic minority base; low odds for GERB-SDS or others highlight barriers to overtaking the top three under proportional representation. Caretaker government measures aim for cleaner elections, but turnout uncertainty around 51% could influence final margins.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Объем
$17,068Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent Gallup International and Alpha Research polls from late March position Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in first place at 28-31%, GERB-SDS second at 21-23%, and PP-DB third at 11-12%, marginally ahead of DPS at 10-11%, driving trader consensus that PP-DB secures third in the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This ordering reflects polling averages amid a stable early campaign, with no significant shifts during the first third despite Bulgaria's eighth vote since 2021 following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation. PP-DB's edge over DPS stems from consistent voter support among reformist and pro-EU blocs, while DPS maintains its ethnic minority base; low odds for GERB-SDS or others highlight barriers to overtaking the top three under proportional representation. Caretaker government measures aim for cleaner elections, but turnout uncertainty around 51% could influence final margins.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Объем
$17,068Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Gallup International and Alpha Research polls from late March position Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in first place at 28-31%, GERB-SDS second at 21-23%, and PP-DB third at 11-12%, marginally ahead of DPS at 10-11%, driving trader consensus that PP-DB secures third in the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This ordering reflects polling averages amid a stable early campaign, with no significant shifts during the first third despite Bulgaria's eighth vote since 2021 following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation. PP-DB's edge over DPS stems from consistent voter support among reformist and pro-EU blocs, while DPS maintains its ethnic minority base; low odds for GERB-SDS or others highlight barriers to overtaking the top three under proportional representation. Caretaker government measures aim for cleaner elections, but turnout uncertainty around 51% could influence final margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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