Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 79.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the upcoming April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the Bank's unanimous decision to hold at 3.75% on March 19 amid sticky CPI inflation at 3.0% through February and projected March uptick to around 3.5% from Middle East energy shocks. A 20.1% chance of a 25 basis point increase stems from surging public inflation expectations to 4.5% long-term and geopolitical risks elevating oil prices, while rate cuts total just 0.7% as labor markets show unemployment steady at 5.2% but wage pressures easing. Traders await fresh March CPI data and the April Monetary Policy Report for resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРешение Банка Англии в апреле?
Решение Банка Англии в апреле?
Без изменений 80%
Повышение 20.1%
Снижение на 25 б.п. <1%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
$209,825 Объем
$209,825 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
<1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
<1%
Без изменений
80%
Повышение
20%
Без изменений 80%
Повышение 20.1%
Снижение на 25 б.п. <1%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
$209,825 Объем
$209,825 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
<1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
<1%
Без изменений
80%
Повышение
20%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 79.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the upcoming April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the Bank's unanimous decision to hold at 3.75% on March 19 amid sticky CPI inflation at 3.0% through February and projected March uptick to around 3.5% from Middle East energy shocks. A 20.1% chance of a 25 basis point increase stems from surging public inflation expectations to 4.5% long-term and geopolitical risks elevating oil prices, while rate cuts total just 0.7% as labor markets show unemployment steady at 5.2% but wage pressures easing. Traders await fresh March CPI data and the April Monetary Policy Report for resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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