In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race—with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited—trader consensus shows a fragmented field ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary and ranked-choice general election on November 3, keeping Tom Begich (Democrat, former Senate minority leader), Bernadette Wilson (Republican businesswoman), and Treg Taylor (former attorney general) tightly clustered near 25% implied probabilities. A February Lake Research poll had Begich leading the primary field at 22% amid high undecideds (23%), buoyed by Democratic name recognition, while Wilson's dominant 68% in the March 29 Kenai Peninsula Republican straw poll signals GOP grassroots momentum challenging Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom's fading prospects. The race's closeness stems from vote-splitting among 12 Republicans; separation could arise from spring debates, fresh polls, fundraising tallies, or endorsements consolidating support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Том Бегич 25%
Трег Тейлор 23.1%
Бернадетт Уилсон 15%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
$385,215 Объем
$385,215 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Трег Тейлор
23%

Бернадетт Уилсон
26%

Эдна ДеВриз
10%

Нэнси Дальстром
9%

Лиза Мурковски
8%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Шелли Хьюз
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
14%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
Том Бегич 25%
Трег Тейлор 23.1%
Бернадетт Уилсон 15%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
$385,215 Объем
$385,215 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Трег Тейлор
23%

Бернадетт Уилсон
26%

Эдна ДеВриз
10%

Нэнси Дальстром
9%

Лиза Мурковски
8%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Шелли Хьюз
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
14%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race—with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited—trader consensus shows a fragmented field ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary and ranked-choice general election on November 3, keeping Tom Begich (Democrat, former Senate minority leader), Bernadette Wilson (Republican businesswoman), and Treg Taylor (former attorney general) tightly clustered near 25% implied probabilities. A February Lake Research poll had Begich leading the primary field at 22% amid high undecideds (23%), buoyed by Democratic name recognition, while Wilson's dominant 68% in the March 29 Kenai Peninsula Republican straw poll signals GOP grassroots momentum challenging Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom's fading prospects. The race's closeness stems from vote-splitting among 12 Republicans; separation could arise from spring debates, fresh polls, fundraising tallies, or endorsements consolidating support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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