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PolíTicas previsões e probabilidades

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Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

84%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

125

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

15%

↑ 0.30

$301K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

13

Ends em 8 meses

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

50%

160-179

$9.2K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$79 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$75.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.3K Vol.

$75.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

<1%

$311K Vol.

$81.4K today

$56.1K Liq.

17

Ends em 5 dias

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

68%

180-199

$37.9K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

30%

140-159

$2.1K Vol.

$42.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

24%

$15.2K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

12

Ends em 14 dias

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

6%

$460 Vol.

$784 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$755K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

15

Ends há 5 meses

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

1,035

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

91%

200,000+

$105K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

94%

May 17

$497K Vol.

$94.6K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

62%

↑ 700

$238K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

10

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

88%

Nothing

$10.5K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTicas.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for PolíTicas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 3% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTicas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.