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Pelosi previsões e probabilidades

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Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

94%

Scott Wiener

$358K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 16 dias

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

57%

$1.4K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$8.7K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

48%

June 30

$18.0K Vol.

$10 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

11%

$17.6K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

9

Ends em 8 meses

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

80%

Hakeem Jeffries

$1.7K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

80%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$545K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

44%

Democrats Sweep

$7M Vol.

$563K Liq.

179

Ends em 6 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$445 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

78%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$323K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

12

Ends em 6 meses

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

5%

$157K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

CA-50 House Election Winner

CA-50 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$32.8K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

30%

140-159

$1.5K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

4%

$83.9K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

9

Ends em 6 meses

CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$26.8K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

99%

Janelle Stelson

$23.9K Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

25%

May 31

$30.3K Vol.

$802 Liq.

4

Ends em 14 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Pelosi.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Pelosi that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Pelosi predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.