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Pedidos Iniciais De Seguro Desemprego previsões e probabilidades

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Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

56%

Morgan Stanley

$37.7K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

1

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

81%

Goldman Sachs

$29.4K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

89%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

5%

$8.5K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

30%

$5.6K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

15%

$3.0K Vol.

$780 Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

36%

0-1.0%

$9.0K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

12%

$2M Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

69

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

42%

Keith Sonderling

$46.4K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB

Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB

50%

Kirk Cousins

$0 Vol.

$605 Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

52%

$1.4B

$0 Vol.

$158 Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

83%

$1.3B

$23.5K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

5%

$465 Vol.

$763 Liq.

2

Core CPI YoY - June 2026

Core CPI YoY - June 2026

73%

2.5%

$969 Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?

What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?

43%

Propellant Leak

$427 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

6%

$2.9K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

48%

Other

$10.8K Vol.

$48.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

79%

$19 Vol.

$161 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

12%

July 31

$12.1K Vol.

$110K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 185 active markets for Pedidos Iniciais De Seguro Desemprego that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US recession by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Pedidos Iniciais De Seguro Desemprego predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.