Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado50 mil – 100 mil 100.0%
<0 <1%
0 – 50 mil <1%
100 mil – 150 mil <1%
$15,950 Vol.
$15,950 Vol.
<0
Não
0 – 50 mil
Não
50 mil – 100 mil
Sim
100 mil – 150 mil
Não
150 mil – 200 mil
Não
200 mil+
Não
50 mil – 100 mil 100.0%
<0 <1%
0 – 50 mil <1%
100 mil – 150 mil <1%
$15,950 Vol.
$15,950 Vol.
<0
Não
0 – 50 mil
Não
50 mil – 100 mil
Sim
100 mil – 150 mil
Não
150 mil – 200 mil
Não
200 mil+
Não
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Mercado Aberto: Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions