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Impeachment previsões e probabilidades

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Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

13%

$709K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

6%

$71.2K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

1%

$369K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

64%

$62.4K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

2%

$619K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

5%

$157K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

11%

$17.6K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

9

Ends em 8 meses

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

9%

$9.2K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

44%

Starmer - UK PM

$361K Vol.

$247K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

25%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

72

Ends em 8 meses

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

8%

$26.5K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

73%

June 30

$28.8K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Vol.

$527K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

25%

$8.7K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

86%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$1.7K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$2M Vol.

$595K Liq.

1

Ends em 13 dias

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

42%

Baby

$11.0K Vol.

$701 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 22 horas

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M Vol.

$430K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

66%

$21.4K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Impeachment.

Polymarket currently hosts 139 active markets for Impeachment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Insurrection Act invoked by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump out as President before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Impeachment predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.