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Política·Coreia Do Sul

Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Coreia Do Sul

Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

8% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

8% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position atop South Korea's Democratic Party-dominated National Assembly underpins the 92.5% trader consensus against his impeachment before 2027, as the opposition People Power Party remains weakened post-Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 conviction and life sentence for the 2024 martial law declaration. Recent developments, including Lee's nominations for key posts like defense minister and comments marking the martial law anniversary on December 3, 2025, show institutional stability without sparking viable impeachment motions, which require a two-thirds Assembly vote followed by Constitutional Court review. Despite lingering conservative protests and fringe calls for accountability amid his prior election law convictions—overturned or navigated to enable his snap election win—no procedural advances or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though late-breaking legal rulings or mass unrest could theoretically alter the landscape.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$4,453
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position atop South Korea's Democratic Party-dominated National Assembly underpins the 92.5% trader consensus against his impeachment before 2027, as the opposition People Power Party remains weakened post-Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 conviction and life sentence for the 2024 martial law declaration. Recent developments, including Lee's nominations for key posts like defense minister and comments marking the martial law anniversary on December 3, 2025, show institutional stability without sparking viable impeachment motions, which require a two-thirds Assembly vote followed by Constitutional Court review. Despite lingering conservative protests and fringe calls for accountability amid his prior election law convictions—overturned or navigated to enable his snap election win—no procedural advances or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though late-breaking legal rulings or mass unrest could theoretically alter the landscape.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$4,453
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lee Jae-myung será destituído antes de 2027?" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?" is "Lee Jae-myung será destituído antes de 2027?" at just 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.