Trader consensus prices PPP securing 2 seats at 32.5% and 3 at 23.5% in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across at least four constituencies, including Incheon Gyeyang-eul and Jeonbuk Gunsan-Kimje-Buan, reflecting the party's entrenched internal divisions and nomination turmoil. The opposition's crisis deepened last week with its June local elections nomination committee resigning en masse amid candidate shortages and heavyweights skipping primaries, while approval ratings have plunged to 17-19% per recent Gallup Korea and other polls. A KoreaResearch survey shows PPP at just 4% in Jeonbuk, underscoring national weakness, yet the race stays tight due to potential holds in conservative strongholds; separation could come from finalized candidates, ruling Democratic Party stumbles, or district-specific polls before voting alongside local elections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# de assentos conquistados pelo PPP nas eleições parciais da Coreia do Sul?
# de assentos conquistados pelo PPP nas eleições parciais da Coreia do Sul?
2 43%
3 26%
5 15.6%
1 15.0%
$21,405 Vol.
$21,405 Vol.
0
14%
1
18%
2
33%
3
24%
4
8%
5
16%
6+
<1%
2 43%
3 26%
5 15.6%
1 15.0%
$21,405 Vol.
$21,405 Vol.
0
14%
1
18%
2
33%
3
24%
4
8%
5
16%
6+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices PPP securing 2 seats at 32.5% and 3 at 23.5% in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across at least four constituencies, including Incheon Gyeyang-eul and Jeonbuk Gunsan-Kimje-Buan, reflecting the party's entrenched internal divisions and nomination turmoil. The opposition's crisis deepened last week with its June local elections nomination committee resigning en masse amid candidate shortages and heavyweights skipping primaries, while approval ratings have plunged to 17-19% per recent Gallup Korea and other polls. A KoreaResearch survey shows PPP at just 4% in Jeonbuk, underscoring national weakness, yet the race stays tight due to potential holds in conservative strongholds; separation could come from finalized candidates, ruling Democratic Party stumbles, or district-specific polls before voting alongside local elections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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