A Seoul Central District Court life imprisonment sentence handed to former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol on February 19, 2026, for leading an insurrection through his December 2024 martial law declaration has driven the 92.8% "No" probability on his release from custody before 2027, reflecting trader consensus on the conviction's durability amid ongoing appeals. Yoon, detained since July 2025 after prior release on bail, faces additional trials on abuse of power and related charges, with no successful bail bids or pardons emerging despite supporter protests. Recent Justice Ministry data confirming over 1.2 billion won in inmate funds received during eight months of imprisonment underscores his continued detention status, barring extraordinary appellate reversals or executive clemency under the Lee Jae-myung administration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoYoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?
Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?
Sim
Sim
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A Seoul Central District Court life imprisonment sentence handed to former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol on February 19, 2026, for leading an insurrection through his December 2024 martial law declaration has driven the 92.8% "No" probability on his release from custody before 2027, reflecting trader consensus on the conviction's durability amid ongoing appeals. Yoon, detained since July 2025 after prior release on bail, faces additional trials on abuse of power and related charges, with no successful bail bids or pardons emerging despite supporter protests. Recent Justice Ministry data confirming over 1.2 billion won in inmate funds received during eight months of imprisonment underscores his continued detention status, barring extraordinary appellate reversals or executive clemency under the Lee Jae-myung administration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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