Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody following his February 19, 2026, conviction by the Seoul Central District Court for leading an insurrection tied to his short-lived December 2024 martial law declaration, resulting in a life imprisonment sentence. This landmark ruling, after multiple detention warrant extensions—including a six-month renewal on January 2—solidifies trader consensus at 92.8% for "No," reflecting the severity of the penalty and procedural barriers to release. While appeals to higher courts are possible, historical precedents for such charges suggest prolonged detention, with no recent developments indicating imminent freedom before the market's December 31, 2026, deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoYoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?
Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?
Sim
Sim
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody following his February 19, 2026, conviction by the Seoul Central District Court for leading an insurrection tied to his short-lived December 2024 martial law declaration, resulting in a life imprisonment sentence. This landmark ruling, after multiple detention warrant extensions—including a six-month renewal on January 2—solidifies trader consensus at 92.8% for "No," reflecting the severity of the penalty and procedural barriers to release. While appeals to higher courts are possible, historical precedents for such charges suggest prolonged detention, with no recent developments indicating imminent freedom before the market's December 31, 2026, deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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